Boston @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Vaughn Grissom will have an edge in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.288) implies that Vaughn Grissom has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .237 actual wOBA. With a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Vaughn Grissom has performed in the 86th percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Brandon Crawford will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Crawford hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Pedro Pages hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Matt Carpenter is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Matt Carpenter will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Carpenter will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an advantage today. Ranking in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.97 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is notably fast.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Ranking in the 86th percentile, Jarren Duran sports a .344 BABIP this year.

Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Connor Wong will have the upper hand today. Connor Wong has been hot in recent games, putting up a .387 wOBA over the past 14 days. Connor Wong's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 113.6 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.270) suggests that Masyn Winn has been very fortunate this year with his .313 actual wOBA. Sporting a .281 batting average this year, Masyn Winn grades out in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage today. Ivan Herrera's quickness has improved this season. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.47 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Tyler O'Neill will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's game. Since the start of last season, Tyler O'Neill's 12.5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Rob Refsnyder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. In the last week, Rob Refsnyder has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .431.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Based on Statcast data, Rafael Devers ranks in the 85th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354. Rafael Devers's 12.9% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 87th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Garrett Cooper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .247 figure is deflated compared to his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Garrett Cooper's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 75th percentile at 94.1 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .312 mark is considerably higher than his .281 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have the upper hand in today's game. Romy Gonzalez's 13.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 90th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Romy Gonzalez's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 91st percentile at 96 mph.

Wilyer Abreu has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.