Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 7th-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jackson Chourio will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 87th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.66 ft/sec this year, Jackson Chourio is notably athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.282) may lead us to conclude that Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance this year with his .256 actual wOBA. Jared Triolo is in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (52.4% rate since the start of last season). Jared Triolo has notched a .366 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Rowdy Tellez's footspeed has increased this season. His 23.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.13 ft/sec now. Despite posting a .242 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rowdy Tellez has had bad variance on his side given the .077 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

In the majors, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Brice Turang is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. In the majors, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 7th-worst among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 7th-worst among every team today.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage against William Contreras in today's game. William Contreras has been lucky this year, compiling a .408 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .343 — a .065 gap. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, William Contreras ranks in just the 5th percentile with a 4.6° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in the league.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Michael A. Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.253) provides evidence that Michael A. Taylor has experienced some negative variance this year with his .239 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, Michael A. Taylor's 14.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 91st percentile among his peers. Michael A. Taylor's 96.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 7th-worst among every team today.

In the majors, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Joey Bart has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.7° figure is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (83rd percentile).

In the majors, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage in today's game.

In the majors, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Oliver Dunn will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the worst among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. In the majors, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side against Colin Rea in today's game.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Colin Rea in today's game. Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 7th-worst among every team today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Andrew McCutchen has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .241 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.

In the majors, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 7th-worst among every team today. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jack Suwinski is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an edge in today's game. Jack Suwinski hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Connor Joe has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.