Kansas City @ Seattle Picks & Props
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KC vs SEA Props
Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the majors. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. MJ Melendez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. MJ Melendez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .269 mark is a fair amount lower than his .367 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Michael Massey is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand today. Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Michael Massey is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#1-worst of the day).
Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage today. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
Mitch Haniger Total Hits Props • Seattle
Mitch Haniger is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the majors. Mitch Haniger will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Mitch Haniger's 11.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Mitch Haniger and his 19.9% rank in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.
Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Maikel Garcia's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Maikel Garcia has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. With a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Maikel Garcia has performed in the 91st percentile.
Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Seattle
Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Mitch Garver tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brady Singer. Mitch Garver will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Mitch Garver has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .272 mark is a fair amount lower than his .292 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Mitch Garver's 12.4% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 84th percentile among his peers.
Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Salvador Perez has been hot in recent games, batting his way to a .396 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough challenge today.
Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle
The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split.
Nelson Velázquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. By putting up a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez is positioned in the 86th percentile for offensive skills. Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 89th percentile at 95.8 mph.
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brady Singer. Jorge Polanco will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Seattle
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the majors. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split. Luke Raley will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Luke Raley's 13.2% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.
Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Cal Raleigh tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brady Singer. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game. Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.
Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Seattle
Josh Rojas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Josh Rojas will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Josh Rojas has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage today. Josh Rojas has been hot recently, batting his way to a .399 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Dairon Blanco Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Dairon Blanco's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Dairon Blanco has recorded a .273 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Dairon Blanco has notched a .330 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile.
Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Hunter Renfroe pulls many of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Hunter Renfroe has been unlucky this year, putting up a .211 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .092 discrepancy. Placing in the 75th percentile, the hardest ball Hunter Renfroe has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
Dylan Moore Total Hits Props • Seattle
Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Dylan Moore tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brady Singer. Dylan Moore will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In notching a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Dylan Moore grades out in the 86th percentile for offensive ability. Dylan Moore's 98-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.
Ty France Total Hits Props • Seattle
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the majors. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today's game.
KC vs SEA Trends
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 72% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 98 games (-18.00 Units / -17% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 16 games (-7.30 Units / -40% ROI)
Seattle Trends
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+11.16 Units / 14% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 33 games (-19.60 Units / -48% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 86 games (-18.90 Units / -19% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 122 games (-13.95 Units / -10% ROI)
KC vs SEA Top User Picks
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||
Seattle Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PaPe454 | 6-4-0 | +19444 |
| 2 | dotlife162 | 9-1-0 | +19315 |
| 3 | Roundrobinking | 6-4-0 | +17515 |
| 4 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +15505 |
| 5 | KingScorpio | 3-7-0 | +15095 |
| 6 | regger22 | 6-4-0 | +13250 |
| 7 | jr5601 | 4-5-1 | +12525 |
| 8 | adon131 | 5-5-0 | +12520 |
| 9 | CJONES1068 | 7-3-0 | +11975 |
| 10 | fragma8023 | 6-4-0 | +11743 |
| All Mariners Money Leaders | |||