Cincinnati @ San Diego Picks & Props

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Luke Maile has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .296 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luke Maile and his 19.5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Graham Pauley is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Graham Pauley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) implies that Jonathan India has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average.

Will Benson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Will Benson will have an advantage today. Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Will Benson's 94.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

Nick Martini is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Nick Martini will have an edge in today's game. Despite posting a .242 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Martini has suffered from bad luck given the .063 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Stuart Fairchild is notably fast, ranking in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.19 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Luis Campusano will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Luis Campusano ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today's game. Jake Fraley has posted a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jake Fraley's 16.3° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in baseball: 79th percentile.

Santiago Espinal's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Despite posting a .217 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Santiago Espinal has had some very poor luck given the .072 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Jeimer Candelario and his 17.8% rank in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ha-seong Kim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .305 mark is a fair amount lower than his .341 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ha-seong Kim has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Joe Musgrove. Elly De La Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft today. Jake Cronenworth hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Jurickson Profar will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jurickson Profar's speed has improved this year. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.7 ft/sec now. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 82nd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Spencer Steer has been hot in recent games, tallying a .350 wOBA in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Since the start of last season, Tyler Stephenson's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 78th percentile at 94.4 mph. Tyler Stephenson grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.2% rate since the start of last season).

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Tyler Wade will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Tyler Wade will hold that advantage in today's matchup.