New York @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luke Weaver will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 94.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 75.2-mph over the past week. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 11.1% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. In the past week's worth of games, Anthony Volpe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.4% up to 22.2%. In the past week's worth of games, Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph in recent games. Over the last 7 days, Anthony Volpe's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) implies that Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance this year with his .207 actual batting average.

Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luke Weaver will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alejandro Kirk in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.

The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luke Weaver will have the handedness advantage over George Springer today. George Springer has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 2.9% over the last two weeks. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, falling from 45% on the season to 34.3% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage against Luke Weaver in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Luke Weaver today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Cavan Biggio is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luke Weaver in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Chris Bassitt. Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year, putting up a .261 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .040 disparity.

Estevan Florial will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today. Estevan Florial hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Estevan Florial has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 27.94 ft/sec to 29.12 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). In the last two weeks' worth of games, Estevan Florial has posted an 18.5° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Matt Chapman has been unlucky this year, putting up a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .357 — a .029 deviation.