Cleveland @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Extreme flyball batters like Andres Gimenez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Anderson. Andres Gimenez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 17% on the season to 35.7% in the last week's worth of games. Despite posting a .301 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Andres Gimenez has had bad variance on his side given the .032 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 5th-worst park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Tyler Anderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Kwan today. In today's matchup, Steven Kwan is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40% rate (97th percentile). Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Steven Kwan today.

David Fry has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. David Fry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, David Fry has had some very poor luck this year. His .326 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .368.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Gabriel Arias will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Anderson today. Bats such as Gabriel Arias with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tyler Anderson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Over the last 14 days, Gabriel Arias has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9% to 16.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyren Paris in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Kyren Paris will hold that advantage in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Brett Phillips will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito today. Brett Phillips will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Brett Phillips has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .143 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .173. Brett Phillips and his 27.4° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Ramon Laureano will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Anderson today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ramon Laureano's true offensive skill to be a .339, providing some evidence that he this year given the .048 gap between that mark and his actual .291 wOBA.

Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Jose Ramirez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV. In the past 14 days, Jose Ramirez's 24.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

Logan O'Hoppe has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Logan O'Hoppe will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.9°, Logan O'Hoppe has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 30.3° angle over the last 7 days. Since the start of last season, Logan O'Hoppe's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 88th percentile at 95.1 mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Drury ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Drury is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Brandon Drury will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Brandon Drury has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 92.5-mph over the last two weeks.

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Mike Moustakas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mike Moustakas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mike Moustakas's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (21.3° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 9.9° seasonal figure.

Kole Calhoun has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.