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Colorado @ Arizona props

Chase Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+140
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Davies in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.7% seasonal rate to 19.4% in the last 14 days.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Davies in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.7% seasonal rate to 19.4% in the last 14 days.

Elehuris Montero Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Montero
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Elehuris Montero is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Elehuris Montero has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 98.3-mph over the last 7 days. In notching a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Elehuris Montero finds himself in the 75th percentile.

Elehuris Montero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Elehuris Montero is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Elehuris Montero has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 98.3-mph over the last 7 days. In notching a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Elehuris Montero finds himself in the 75th percentile.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Nolan Jones will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Davies in today's game.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Nolan Jones will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Davies in today's game.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Geraldo Perdomo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.4°, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 50.5° mark in the last week. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 19.5%.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Geraldo Perdomo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.4°, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 50.5° mark in the last week. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 19.5%.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ezequiel Tovar has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ezequiel Tovar has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Christian Walker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Christian Walker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Hunter Goodman Total Hits Props • Colorado

H. Goodman
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Posting a 93.3-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks, Hunter Goodman has been in great form in recent games.

Hunter Goodman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Posting a 93.3-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks, Hunter Goodman has been in great form in recent games.

Austin Wynns Total Hits Props • Colorado

A. Wynns
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Wynns has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph mark.

Austin Wynns

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Wynns has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph mark.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the least humid conditions of all games today at 24%. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Corbin Carroll's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 16.3% on the season to 6.3% over the last 7 days. Corbin Carroll's speed has declined this season. His 30.71 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.09 ft/sec now.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the least humid conditions of all games today at 24%. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Corbin Carroll's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 16.3% on the season to 6.3% over the last 7 days. Corbin Carroll's speed has declined this season. His 30.71 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.09 ft/sec now.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Brenton Doyle has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88-mph EV. Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, putting up a .246 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .288 — a .042 discrepancy.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Brenton Doyle has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88-mph EV. Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, putting up a .246 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .288 — a .042 discrepancy.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Elias Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 15% on the season to 25.8% in the last 14 days.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Elias Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 15% on the season to 25.8% in the last 14 days.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Alek Thomas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen today.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Alek Thomas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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