St. Louis @ Atlanta Picks & Props
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STL vs ATL Props
Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Among all stadiums, Truist Park's left field dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. Dakota Hudson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley today. Austin Riley has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph dropping to 89.8-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis
Truist Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Masyn Winn has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.4-mph to 93.3-mph over the last week.
Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • St. Louis
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Truist Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Tyler O'Neill hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Truist Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Sean Murphy will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.
Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Truist Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Matt Olson has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 17.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 6.1% over the last two weeks. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Olson has had some very good luck this year. His .403 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .384.
Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson in today's matchup.
Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Truist Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.
Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Dakota Hudson Ozzie Albies has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days. Ozzie Albies's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 88.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 79-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 20.8% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Ozzie Albies has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .357 rate is a fair amount higher than his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Truist Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Orlando Arcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson in today's game.
Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
STL vs ATL Trends
St. Louis Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 away games (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 away games (+6.19 Units / 18% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 68 games (+4.95 Units / 6% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 135 games (-36.35 Units / -21% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 67 away games (-19.60 Units / -25% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 67 away games (-13.26 Units / -17% ROI)
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 72 of their last 123 games (+14.54 Units / 7% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 84 of their last 137 games (+18.03 Units / 10% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 79 games (+16.39 Units / 17% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.75 Units / 33% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 39 games at home (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Team Total Under in 60 of their last 137 games (-28.46 Units / -18% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 64 games at home (-14.75 Units / -21% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 37 games at home (-12.35 Units / -28% ROI)
STL vs ATL Top User Picks
St. Louis Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | alltalc | 7-3-0 | +20715 |
| 2 | Jackson2399 | 7-3-0 | +17017 |
| 3 | deweyay9 | 5-5-0 | +16133 |
| 4 | steelsteve | 5-5-0 | +14620 |
| 5 | mrmac4224 | 6-4-0 | +13709 |
| 6 | Jerrybook | 9-1-0 | +13100 |
| 7 | cheeser | 7-3-0 | +12475 |
| 8 | mikers | 9-1-0 | +12375 |
| 9 | northlv6238 | 7-3-0 | +11580 |
| 10 | YAL15M | 6-4-0 | +10655 |
| All Cardinals Money Leaders | |||
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||