New York @ Washington Picks & Props

The #5 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Joey Meneses has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the last two weeks, Joey Meneses's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 6.4°. From last season to this one, Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19.2% to 11.5%. As it relates to his batting average, Joey Meneses has been lucky this year. His .279 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.

Jacob Young has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 92°. Jacob Young will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Patrick Corbin will hold the platoon advantage over Jeff McNeil in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Corbin's large platoon split. Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. From last season to this one, Jeff McNeil's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 89.6 mph to 87.6 mph. In the past 7 days, Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 87.6 mph to 85.4 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 92°. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) suggests that Mark Vientos has had some very poor luck this year with his .209 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Chavis in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Michael Chavis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Michael Chavis will hold that advantage in today's game. Michael Chavis's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 41% to 57.1%.

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (61% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Among all major league stadiums, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Patrick Corbin will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Nimmo in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Corbin's large platoon split. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 92°. Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Alex Call has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.4% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the past two weeks. Alex Call has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.9-mph.

Riley Adams is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 92°. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game. Riley Adams will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Riley Adams's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph in recent games.

Carter Kieboom is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 92°. Carter Kieboom will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game. Carter Kieboom will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ronny Mauricio has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.