Miami @ Washington Picks & Props

Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez's true offensive skill to be a .336, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .030 gap between that figure and his actual .366 wOBA. This year, the hardest ball Luis Arraez has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 103.2 mph (an advanced stat to study power), checking in at the 1st percentile.

Jake Alu has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Alu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Jake Alu will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jake Alu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 12.1% on the season to 21.1% over the last 7 days.

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Checking in at the 25th percentile, CJ Abrams sports a .302 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. By putting up a 4.99 K/BB rate this year, CJ Abrams has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 8th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Soler has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 95.1-mph. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.8% to 20.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has posted a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile. Jesus Sanchez has posted a .335 BABIP this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Carter Kieboom is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Carter Kieboom will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara today. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 94.4-mph lately. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.5°, Dominic Smith has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.2° mark over the past 7 days.

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Stallings has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Stallings has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 2.04 K/BB rate.

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ildemaro Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ildemaro Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 31.1% to 38.5%. Ildemaro Vargas has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .238 BA is quite a bit lower than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.19 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 96th percentile.

Nick Fortes has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.