Tampa Bay @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Jose Ramirez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV. Placing in the 16th percentile, Jose Ramirez has notched a .272 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's matchup. Bo Naylor will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Bo Naylor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 12.5%. Compared to his seasonal average of 20°, Bo Naylor has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.5° angle over the last 14 days.

Will Brennan is penciled in 6th in the lineup today. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, Will Brennan's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 88.2 mph to 83.8 mph. Will Brennan's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 11.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days. Will Brennan has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the last week.

Xzavion Curry will have the handedness advantage against Randy Arozarena in today's game. Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randy Arozarena in today's game. Randy Arozarena's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 38.6% on the season to 17.4% over the last 14 days. In terms of his batting average, Randy Arozarena has experienced some positive variance this year. His .261 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (20.1°) is considerably higher than his 16.4° angle last season. Posting a 2 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Walls has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Kole Calhoun is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Kole Calhoun will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today. Kole Calhoun pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Kole Calhoun will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Andres Gimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's game.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xzavion Curry in today's matchup. Luke Raley has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 93.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Luke Raley sports a .370 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.