Atlanta @ Colorado Picks & Props
ATL vs COL Picks
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ATL vs COL Props
Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Peter Lambert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Murphy today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Murphy today.
Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado
Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Tovar today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 90.2 mph to 86.5 mph. Checking in at the 12th percentile, Ezequiel Tovar sports a .285 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's ability is quite weak, posting a 6.57 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 2nd percentile.
Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado
Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Charlie Morton in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.
Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage today. In the past two weeks, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph lately.
Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado
Nolan Jones's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton today.
Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Michael Harris II is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II in today's matchup. Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 95.2-mph figure last season has dropped to 92.9-mph.
Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Charlie Morton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Elias Diaz today. Elias Diaz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 82.4-mph in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) may lead us to conclude that Elias Diaz has had positive variance on his side this year with his .271 actual batting average.
Hunter Goodman Total Hits Props • Colorado
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's game.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Peter Lambert will hold the platoon advantage against Orlando Arcia today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Orlando Arcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado
Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Michael Toglia's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.8% up to 22.2%.
Harold Castro Total Hits Props • Colorado
Harold Castro's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Harold Castro will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.
ATL vs COL Trends
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 76 of their last 130 games (+17.24 Units / 8% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 69 games (+15.29 Units / 19% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 130 games (+17.15 Units / 10% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 73 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 17% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 130 games (-29.11 Units / -19% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 14 games (-7.05 Units / -44% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 10 away games (-4.65 Units / -43% ROI)
Colorado Trends
The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 111 games (+12.53 Units / 11% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 56 games at home (+13.15 Units / 20% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+12.32 Units / 28% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 70% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have only hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 119 games (-23.50 Units / -17% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 1 of their last 11 games (-10.40 Units / -82% ROI)
ATL vs COL Top User Picks
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||
Colorado Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 7-2-1 | +28415 |
| 2 | leafs126 | 8-2-0 | +28005 |
| 3 | adgadg222 | 8-2-0 | +26815 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-6-0 | +23010 |
| 5 | Dogface253 | 7-2-1 | +22855 |
| 6 | moneyformo | 7-3-0 | +21495 |
| 7 | ND21 | 9-1-0 | +21105 |
| 8 | Hoosier | 7-2-1 | +20260 |
| 9 | fishercz | 8-1-1 | +19955 |
| 10 | simoncald | 9-1-0 | +19655 |
| All Rockies Money Leaders | |||