Miami @ San Diego Picks & Props

Petco Park ranks as the #25 stadium in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez today. Despite posting a .370 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Arraez has experienced some positive variance given the .030 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Petco Park. Jake Burger has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 95.9-mph in the last 14 days. Jake Burger's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 42.3% on the season to 54.5% over the past 14 days.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Petco Park. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Petco Park. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Petco Park. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Jesus Sanchez's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%. In notching a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Jesus Sanchez is positioned in the 81st percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Petco Park. Jorge Soler has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 15% seasonal rate to 21.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jorge Soler has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 95.1-mph in the past two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Petco Park. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jacob Stallings has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure.

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper as the 14th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Garrett Cooper will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 30.8% over the last two weeks. Garrett Cooper has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 95-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.