Washington @ New York Picks & Props

The #8 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Josiah Gray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Lane Thomas has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.5-mph average. Placing in the 94th percentile, Lane Thomas sits with a .363 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Giancarlo Stanton's true offensive talent to be a .365, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .058 deviation between that figure and his actual .307 wOBA.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 15% on the season to 21.1% over the past two weeks.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's game. Aaron Judge has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.5-mph average to last season's 99.3-mph figure. Aaron Judge's launch angle this season (20.4°) is a significant increase over his 14.6° angle last year.

Alex Call will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.5-mph over the course of the season to 90.5-mph recently. Alex Call's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 15.8% on the season to 26.9% over the past two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Call's true offensive skill to be a .320, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .049 difference between that figure and his actual .271 wOBA.

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.5% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .217 BA is a fair amount lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .240 figure is considerably lower than his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Harrison Bader's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 85.9-mph now compared to just 83.4-mph then.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Keibert Ruiz has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.8° angle over the last 14 days. As it relates to plate discipline, Keibert Ruiz's talent is quite good, posting a 1.46 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 92nd percentile.

Ben Rortvedt will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Joey Meneses has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Sporting a .286 batting average this year, Joey Meneses finds himself in the 89th percentile.

Michael Chavis's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Michael Chavis's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 41% to 60%.

The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Carlos Rodon. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.269) implies that Ildemaro Vargas has experienced some negative variance this year with his .236 actual batting average. Posting a 1.44 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has shown favorable plate discipline, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Riley Adams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 115 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 95th percentile. Riley Adams grades out in the 78th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.4% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Stone Garrett in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Stone Garrett is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Stone Garrett has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.9% seasonal rate to 17.2% in the last two weeks. Stone Garrett has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph average.

Dominic Smith has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Higashioka has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.