TB -107 o8.5
NYY -101 u8.5
ATL +159 o9.5
CIN -174 u9.5
TEX +154 o7.5
SEA -168 u7.5
Bally Sports Network, SDPA

Miami @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Johnny Cueto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today's game.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Johnny Cueto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today's game.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

Josh Bell
J. Bell
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Over the last 14 days, Josh Bell has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.6% to 18.8%.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Over the last 14 days, Josh Bell has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.6% to 18.8%.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

Jesus Sanchez
J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 4.4°, Jesus Sanchez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.7° angle in the last week.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 4.4°, Jesus Sanchez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.7° angle in the last week.

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami

Joey Wendle
J. Wendle
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha today. Joey Wendle has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 92.6-mph in the last 14 days.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha today. Joey Wendle has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 92.6-mph in the last 14 days.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

Jake Burger
J. Burger
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jake Burger has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 94.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jake Burger has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 94.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

Juan Soto
J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

Jorge Soler
J. Soler
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jorge Soler has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 15% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past two weeks.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jorge Soler has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 15% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past two weeks.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Johnny Cueto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Johnny Cueto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has had bad variance on his side given the .055 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has had bad variance on his side given the .055 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Johnny Cueto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Johnny Cueto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
J. Chisholm Jr.
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Michael Wacha in today's matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Michael Wacha in today's matchup.

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

Luis Campusano
L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Johnny Cueto will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Campusano today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage today.

Luis Campusano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Johnny Cueto will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Campusano today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage today.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

Ha-Seong Kim
H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ha-seong Kim is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Johnny Cueto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ha-seong Kim in today's game. Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ha-seong Kim is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Johnny Cueto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ha-seong Kim in today's game. Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

Trent Grisham
T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

Bryan De La Cruz
B. De La Cruz
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Over the past 7 days, Bryan De La Cruz's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.1%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.286) implies that Bryan De La Cruz has had some very poor luck this year with his .257 actual batting average.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Over the past 7 days, Bryan De La Cruz's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.1%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.286) implies that Bryan De La Cruz has had some very poor luck this year with his .257 actual batting average.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • San Diego

Garrett Cooper
G. Cooper
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper as the 11th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Garrett Cooper will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Garrett Cooper will hold that advantage today.

Garrett Cooper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper as the 11th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Garrett Cooper will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Garrett Cooper will hold that advantage today.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

Luis Arraez
L. Arraez
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 4th-worst park in MLB for lefty batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 8th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 4th-worst park in MLB for lefty batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 8th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast