Boston @ New York Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Billy McKinney will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta today. Billy McKinney pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Billy McKinney will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Billy McKinney has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .315 mark is a good deal lower than his .354 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #22 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Nick Pivetta will hold the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres today. Over the last week, Gleyber Torres's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's game. Aaron Judge has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.5-mph average to last season's 99.3-mph EV.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luis Urias has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 25.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.2°. Luis Urias has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 2.07 K/BB rate.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Giancarlo Stanton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 103.9-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Alex Verdugo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. In the last 7 days, Pablo Reyes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph of late. In the last 14 days, Pablo Reyes's 54.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.9%. Pablo Reyes has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.16 ft/sec to 28.03 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Grading out in the 98th percentile, Pablo Reyes sits with a .311 batting average since the start of last season.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Harrison Bader has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86-mph average to last season's 83.4-mph EV.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.9°, Anthony Volpe has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23° mark in the last 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) provides evidence that Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side this year with his .214 actual batting average.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage today. This year, Kyle Higashioka's 10.7% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 75th percentile among his peers. Kyle Higashioka's 94.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 79th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. DJ LeMahieu is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. DJ LeMahieu will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Justin Turner ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 42.6% on the season to 61.5% in the last week. Placing in the 85th percentile, Justin Turner sports a .360 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trevor Story ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Since the start of last season, Trevor Story's 11.4% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Trevor Story's 17.1° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in Major League Baseball: 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Adam Duvall's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph of late. There has been a significant improvement in Adam Duvall's launch angle from last year's 23.4° to 29.2° this season. Adam Duvall's launch angle lately (38.6° in the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 29.2° seasonal mark.

Jake Bauers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.3°, Jake Bauers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-8.9°) in the past two weeks.

Jarren Duran's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Checking in at the 97th percentile, Jarren Duran has posted a .372 BABIP this year.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Reese McGuire will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Ranking in the 97th percentile, Reese McGuire sits with a .352 BABIP since the start of last season.

Connor Wong has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.