Boston @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 9th-worst ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Gleyber Torres in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Gleyber Torres's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. Gleyber Torres's average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 86-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Greg Allen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Greg Allen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Giancarlo Stanton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 103.9-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 9th-worst ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Kutter Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ LeMahieu in today's game. In the past 14 days, DJ LeMahieu's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%. DJ LeMahieu's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 64.6-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Triston Casas is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's game. Aaron Judge has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 101.5-mph average to last year's 99.3-mph figure.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Justin Turner ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Justin Turner has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Justin Turner's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (23.4° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 16.3° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Gerrit Cole today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Adam Duvall has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 94.8-mph. Adam Duvall's launch angle this year (29.2°) is a considerable increase over his 23.4° mark last season. Adam Duvall's launch angle lately (35.8° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 29.2° seasonal figure.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Harrison Bader will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Harrison Bader has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86-mph average to last year's 83.4-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.

Connor Wong's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Connor Wong's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (28° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 15.4° seasonal mark. Connor Wong's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) has been 113.6 mph this year, ranking in the 81st percentile. Connor Wong has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.4° angle is among the highest in Major League Baseball this year (80th percentile).

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.1% seasonal rate to 14.8% in the last two weeks. Anthony Volpe's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (24.4° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 14.5° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.251) implies that Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance this year with his .216 actual batting average.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Ben Rortvedt will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game. Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Bauers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford today. Jake Bauers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jarren Duran has put up a .371 BABIP this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

Trevor Story has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.