Boston @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-worst venue in the game for RHB BABIP. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Brayan Bello will hold the platoon advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

The #9 stadium in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage over Gleyber Torres in today's game. In the last week, Gleyber Torres's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. In the past week's worth of games, Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 92.8 mph to 89.6 mph.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Billy McKinney will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game. Billy McKinney pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Billy McKinney will hold that advantage in today's game. Billy McKinney has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.5-mph EV.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in MLB. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Aaron Judge has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 101.5-mph average to last year's 99.3-mph mark.

The #9 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Alex Verdugo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest CF fences today. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Alex Verdugo's 7.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.5%.

The #9 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Rafael Devers today. Rafael Devers has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 12.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past week.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Extreme flyball bats like Anthony Volpe are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 14 days. Over the past 14 days, Anthony Volpe has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 24.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Trevor Story has been hot recently, putting up a a 21.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the last 14 days. Trevor Story has been hot recently, posting a 93.2-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks. Over the past two weeks, Trevor Story has posted a 24.2° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has been unlucky this year, putting up a .312 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .364 — a .052 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Jhony Brito in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Ben Rortvedt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game. Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Harrison Bader will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Harrison Bader's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 86-mph now compared to just 83.4-mph then.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Justin Turner is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Justin Turner has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Justin Turner's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (24° over the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 16.5° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Jhony Brito today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Jhony Brito today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Jake Bauers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today. Jake Bauers will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.354) provides evidence that Jake Bauers has experienced some negative variance this year with his .317 actual wOBA.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage over Jhony Brito in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.