Cleveland @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

This matchup is forecasted to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Oscar Gonzalez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 11th-deepest CF fences today. Oscar Gonzalez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Oscar Gonzalez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 88.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 82.8-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Over the past two weeks, Oscar Gonzalez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-0.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 5.6°.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Andrew Abbott will have the handedness advantage over Steven Kwan in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Abbott's large platoon split. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Steven Kwan has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 88.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 85.1-mph. Steven Kwan's launch angle of late (4.6° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 10.6° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 venue in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park. Extreme groundball bats like Andres Gimenez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his bad side (0) today against Noah Syndergaard Elly De La Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear the game's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.291) suggests that Elly De La Cruz has had some very good luck this year with his .329 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #9 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Matt McLain has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's game.

T.J. Friedl is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 venue in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). T.J. Friedl will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Syndergaard in today's game. T.J. Friedl will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.8°, T.J. Friedl has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27.1° mark over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #9 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #9 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Gabriel Arias will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game... and moreover, Abbott has a large platoon split. Gabriel Arias has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Gabriel Arias tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

The #9 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. Luke Maile will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. The Barrel% of Luke Maile has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.4% last year to 12.1% this season. Luke Maile has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The #9 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. Tyler Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's game... and moreover, Abbott has a large platoon split. Tyler Freeman's footspeed has increased this season. His 28.1 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.7 ft/sec now.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #9 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Ramirez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph average.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #9 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #9 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Myles Straw will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's game... and even more favorably, Abbott has a large platoon split. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.4°, Myles Straw has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 34.7° figure in the last week's worth of games.

Joey Votto is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 venue in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park. Joey Votto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Syndergaard in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Joey Votto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #9 venue in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Noah Syndergaard in today's matchup. Will Benson will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past week, Will Benson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 101.8-mph in recent games. Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.6°, Will Benson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (11°) in the last 14 days.

The #9 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. Cam Gallagher will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's matchup... and even better, Abbott has a large platoon split. Cam Gallagher's quickness has gotten better this year. His 24.88 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.41 ft/sec now. Despite posting a .155 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cam Gallagher has been unlucky given the .094 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .249.

Bo Naylor has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.