Cleveland @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The #6 venue in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Tanner Bibee will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense projects as the 5th-best out of every team playing today. Yandy Diaz has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .397 rate is considerably higher than his .361 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #6 field in MLB for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Steven Kwan in today's game. Steven Kwan's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 85.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 82.5-mph in the past week. Steven Kwan's launch angle in recent games (3.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.6° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Gabriel Arias has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Gabriel Arias's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 20%. Gabriel Arias has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 94.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wander Franco as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Wander Franco is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums. Wander Franco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Wander Franco has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.3% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past two weeks.

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (18.3° over the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 10.8° seasonal mark.

Jose Siri's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.8°, Jose Siri has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 34.5° figure over the last 7 days.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Isaac Paredes's 34.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%. Over the past two weeks, Isaac Paredes has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .376.

Myles Straw's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.2°, Myles Straw has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.9° figure over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 16th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent. Harold Ramirez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Harold Ramirez will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Harold Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.9% up to 10%. Last year, Harold Ramirez had an average launch angle of 2.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 5.6°.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game. The Barrel% of Randy Arozarena has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.9% last year to 13.4% this year. Randy Arozarena has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last season's 89.8-mph average.

Oscar Gonzalez's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oscar Gonzalez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Oscar Gonzalez has been unlucky this year, notching a .252 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .058 gap. Oscar Gonzalez has posted a .277 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Oscar Gonzalez has notched a .279 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Will Brennan will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Will Brennan has had bad variance on his side this year. His .252 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .301.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Bibee in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Bibee in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's game. By putting up a .380 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luke Raley has performed in the 94th percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Bo Naylor has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.