Detroit @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Justin Turner's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 89.8-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 83.7-mph over the last 14 days. There has been a significant decline in Justin Turner's launch angle from last year's 18.6° to 15.3° this year. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 42% on the season to 26.7% in the last two weeks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.316) suggests that Justin Turner has experienced some positive variance this year with his .362 actual wOBA.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford today.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Vierling in today's matchup. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Matt Vierling's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 89.4 mph to 84.7 mph. Matt Vierling's launch angle this season (7.6°) is considerably lower than his 12° mark last year.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the league, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. In the past week, Jake Rogers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.4-mph lately. Jake Rogers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 41.7% on the season to 63.6% in the last 7 days.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Eduardo Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage over Masataka Yoshida in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 3.5°, Masataka Yoshida has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 7.5° angle over the last 7 days. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Masataka Yoshida has experienced some positive variance this year. His .360 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .329. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Masataka Yoshida ranks in just the 1st percentile with a 3.2° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Eduardo Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage over Rafael Devers today. Over the past 14 days, Rafael Devers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.2% down to 6.5%. Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 94.4-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84.3-mph in the last week. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 36.2% on the season to 25% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the league, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Miguel Cabrera has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Miguel Cabrera with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kutter Crawford who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Miguel Cabrera's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 48.3% on the season to 63.6% over the last 7 days.

Akil Baddoo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Akil Baddoo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford today. Akil Baddoo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Trevor Story is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the league, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Zack Short hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Zack Short's 21.5° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 93rd percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Connor Wong will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Zach McKinstry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game. Zach McKinstry hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, Zach McKinstry's 71.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Adam Duvall will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Alex Verdugo has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Javier Baez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Andy Ibanez has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Eric Haase has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.