Atlanta @ New York Picks & Props

The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies today. Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 92.1-mph seasonal average has fallen to 86.3-mph in the past week. Checking in at the 13th percentile, Ozzie Albies sits with a .262 BABIP this year.

The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Riley today. In the last 7 days, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 0%. Over the last week, Austin Riley's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 95.9 mph to 90.4 mph.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Mark Vientos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.2-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Brandon Nimmo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Tim Locastro will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Francisco Alvarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 11th-best hitter in baseball. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Matt Olson has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.6% rate last year to 18.9% this season.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Orlando Arcia will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Orlando Arcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 93.3-mph over the last week. In the last two weeks, Orlando Arcia's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jeff McNeil is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider today. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Marcell Ozuna will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Quintana today. Marcell Ozuna has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.3% seasonal rate to 24.1% over the last 14 days.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Daniel Vogelbach will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Kevin Pillar will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Kevin Pillar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Pillar has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 27.11 ft/sec to 28.33 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.348) implies that Kevin Pillar has had bad variance on his side this year with his .290 actual wOBA.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

DJ Stewart has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Danny Mendick has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.