San Diego @ Seattle Picks & Props
SD vs SEA Picks
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SD vs SEA Consensus Picks
62% picking San Diego
Total PicksSD 37, SEA 23
72% picking San Diego
Total PicksSD 38, SEA 15
64% picking San Diego
Total PicksSD 30, SEA 17
SD vs SEA Props
Mike Ford Total Hits Props • Seattle
Mike Ford will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish in today's game. Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mike Ford will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Mike Ford has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 88.8-mph mark. Since the start of last season, Mike Ford's 9.9% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 75th percentile among his peers.
Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split. Trent Grisham has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 94-mph over the last week. Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (20.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.8° angle last year.
Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle
Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.7% seasonal rate to 19% over the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 25.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 16°.
Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. Xander Bogaerts has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.7% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last 7 days. Xander Bogaerts has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 81st percentile with a 1.79 K/BB rate.
Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today. Eugenio Suarez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .313 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .026 difference.
Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .330 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has experienced some negative variance given the .044 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .374.
Cade Marlowe Total Hits Props • Seattle
T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. Cade Marlowe will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Cade Marlowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Cade Marlowe's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.3%.
Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best batter in MLB. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split. Juan Soto has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. This season, Juan Soto has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98 mph compared to last year's 95.9 mph mark.
Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • Seattle
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 17th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Teoscar Hernandez's 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.
Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego
T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls.
Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split. Jake Cronenworth has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Jake Cronenworth has suffered from bad luck this year. His .228 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.
Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Manny Machado pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Manny Machado has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 97.3-mph in the past week's worth of games. Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, putting up a .331 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .366 — a .035 disparity.
Tom Murphy Total Hits Props • Seattle
Tom Murphy has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.
Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego
Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • San Diego
Gary Sanchez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle
J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Ty France Total Hits Props • Seattle
Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
SD vs SEA Trends
San Diego Trends
The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 102 games (+10.20 Units / 9% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 away games (+10.55 Units / 17% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.80 Units / 12% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 60 games (+4.55 Units / 5% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 34 away games (+4.15 Units / 10% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 114 games (-27.90 Units / -16% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 107 games (-23.85 Units / -20% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 104 games (-22.81 Units / -18% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games (-5.20 Units / -54% ROI)
Seattle Trends
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games (+11.00 Units / 29% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+6.40 Units / 20% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games at home (+3.89 Units / 6% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 48 of their last 112 games (-14.00 Units / -9% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 57 games at home (-13.62 Units / -20% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 113 games (-13.51 Units / -10% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 108 games (-12.55 Units / -10% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 57 games at home (-9.95 Units / -16% ROI)
SD vs SEA Top User Picks
San Diego Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabster611 | 9-1-0 | +23405 |
| 2 | Infinite-H | 8-2-0 | +22730 |
| 3 | Bigboys9 | 6-4-0 | +20690 |
| 4 | CJONES1068 | 8-2-0 | +14925 |
| 5 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +13770 |
| 6 | Ollywood | 8-2-0 | +13087 |
| 7 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +13040 |
| 8 | vlkvlk2012 | 2-8-0 | +12910 |
| 9 | Moneyman00 | 6-4-0 | +12810 |
| 10 | dawoodman | 9-1-0 | +12745 |
| All Padres Money Leaders | |||
Seattle Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PaPe454 | 6-4-0 | +19444 |
| 2 | dotlife162 | 9-1-0 | +19315 |
| 3 | Roundrobinking | 6-4-0 | +17515 |
| 4 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +15505 |
| 5 | KingScorpio | 3-7-0 | +15095 |
| 6 | regger22 | 6-4-0 | +13250 |
| 7 | jr5601 | 4-5-1 | +12525 |
| 8 | adon131 | 5-5-0 | +12520 |
| 9 | CJONES1068 | 7-3-0 | +11975 |
| 10 | fragma8023 | 6-4-0 | +11743 |
| All Mariners Money Leaders | |||