San Diego @ Seattle Picks & Props

Mike Ford will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish in today's game. Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mike Ford will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Mike Ford has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 88.8-mph mark. Since the start of last season, Mike Ford's 9.9% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 75th percentile among his peers.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split. Trent Grisham has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 94-mph over the last week. Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (20.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.8° angle last year.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.7% seasonal rate to 19% over the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 25.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 16°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. Xander Bogaerts has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.7% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last 7 days. Xander Bogaerts has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 81st percentile with a 1.79 K/BB rate.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today. Eugenio Suarez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .313 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .026 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .330 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has experienced some negative variance given the .044 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .374.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. Cade Marlowe will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Cade Marlowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Cade Marlowe's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.3%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best batter in MLB. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split. Juan Soto has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. This season, Juan Soto has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98 mph compared to last year's 95.9 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 17th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Teoscar Hernandez's 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split. Jake Cronenworth has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Jake Cronenworth has suffered from bad luck this year. His .228 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Manny Machado pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Manny Machado has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 97.3-mph in the past week's worth of games. Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, putting up a .331 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .366 — a .035 disparity.

Tom Murphy has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Gary Sanchez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.