Miami @ Cincinnati props

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Tyler Stephenson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett today. Tyler Stephenson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team playing today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks. Despite posting a .383 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Arraez has experienced some positive variance given the .040 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.

Luke Weaver will hold the platoon advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today's game. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan De La Cruz today. Bryan De La Cruz's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 95.8-mph average last season has dropped to 92.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Luke Weaver today.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Braxton Garrett.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Matt McLain will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Luke Weaver in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.1-mph average to last season's 94.7-mph average.

Luke Weaver will hold the platoon advantage over Jorge Soler in today's matchup. Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. From last season to this one, Jorge Soler's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 96.5 mph to 94.5 mph. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, going from 40.8% on the season to 21.1% in the last week. Jorge Soler has recorded a .254 BABIP this year, placing in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's game. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage against Luke Weaver today. Joey Wendle has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Joey Wendle has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3% seasonal rate to 8.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Nick Fortes pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has suffered from bad luck given the .061 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Spencer Steer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Kevin Newman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Kevin Newman will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team playing today.

Nick Senzel has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Nick Senzel will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett today. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Luke Maile will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Luke Maile will hold that advantage today.

Jacob Stallings has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Joey Votto has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.