San Diego @ Seattle Picks & Props

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Cal Raleigh generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Martinez. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.7% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team playing today. Trent Grisham has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Manny Machado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team playing today. Manny Machado has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.9-mph mark.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Cade Marlowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Cade Marlowe will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 14 days, Cade Marlowe's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 29.2% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team playing today. Xander Bogaerts has shown impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 79th percentile with a 1.79 K/BB rate.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in baseball. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. Juan Soto has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Martinez. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Teoscar Hernandez's 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

Gary Sanchez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team playing today. Gary Sanchez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 14.8% seasonal rate to 34.6% over the past 14 days. Gary Sanchez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 100.2-mph in the past week. Over the past two weeks, Gary Sanchez's 42.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.8%.

Tom Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Tom Murphy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tom Murphy has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph mark. Over the last 7 days, Tom Murphy's 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 55.7%. Sporting a .293 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Tom Murphy grades out in the 94th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team playing today. Jake Cronenworth has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .228 figure is considerably lower than his .252 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Batters such as Dylan Moore with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Martinez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Dylan Moore will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Dylan Moore has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 13.1% rate last year to 38.7% this year. This season, Dylan Moore has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.5 mph compared to last year's 92.4 mph mark.

Mike Ford has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Jose Caballero has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.