Houston @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 9th-worst park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. Jose Urquidy will have the handedness advantage over Gleyber Torres today. Placing in the 23rd percentile, Gleyber Torres has posted a .273 BABIP this year.

Billy McKinney has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Billy McKinney will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.P. France in today's game. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Billy McKinney can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Billy McKinney will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Alex Bregman has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 5.9% to 11.9%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Giancarlo Stanton will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 93.8-mph mark.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Martin Maldonado has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 40% in the past week. Martin Maldonado has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Martin Maldonado has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 31.5° figure in the last week.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) provides evidence that Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side this year with his .210 actual batting average.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Yordan Alvarez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (17°) is considerably better than his 12.8° angle last year.

DJ LeMahieu's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). DJ LeMahieu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like DJ LeMahieu tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Urquidy.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 15th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. With a .396 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Kyle Tucker finds himself in the 98th percentile for offensive ability.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Kyle Higashioka will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Kyle Higashioka's launch angle in recent games (31.8° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 16.6° seasonal angle. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Higashioka this year. His .265 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .300.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 9th-worst park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. Jose Urquidy will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Judge today. Aaron Judge pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-deepest LF fences today. Despite posting a .445 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has been very fortunate given the .016 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .429.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Jose Altuve will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon today. This season, Jose Altuve has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.3 mph compared to last year's 91.1 mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Chas McCormick ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chas McCormick has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Chas McCormick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Chas McCormick has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Jose Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Despite posting a .285 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Abreu has had bad variance on his side given the .055 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Jeremy Pena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Jeremy Pena has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 91.7-mph over the last 14 days. In terms of his batting average, Jeremy Pena has experienced some negative variance this year. His .241 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .270.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Urquidy today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jake Bauers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.