Tampa Bay @ New York Picks & Props

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the least humidity on the schedule today at 38%. Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jose Siri will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon today.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Anthony Volpe's 55% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.8%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) provides evidence that Anthony Volpe has been unlucky this year with his .209 actual batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. The Barrel% of Randy Arozarena has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.9% last year to 13.6% this year. Randy Arozarena's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92.5-mph now compared to just 89.8-mph then.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Giancarlo Stanton's true offensive ability to be a .364, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .056 gap between that figure and his actual .308 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wander Franco as the 11th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent. Wander Franco is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The switch-hitting Wander Franco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Carlos Rodon. In the past week, Wander Franco's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.6% up to 23.1%. Wander Franco has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Isaac Paredes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today.

Anthony Rizzo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Anthony Rizzo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Anthony Rizzo pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Rizzo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Manuel Margot's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manuel Margot will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. DJ LeMahieu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Batters such as Kyle Higashioka with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zach Eflin who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Harrison Bader will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his batting average skill, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Harold Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Harold Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Last season, Harold Ramirez had an average launch angle of 2.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 5.6°. Ranking in the 93rd percentile, Harold Ramirez has notched a .295 batting average this year.

Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This year, Jake Bauers's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 94th percentile at 96.9 mph. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Jake Bauers has put up a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Aaron Judge has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Billy McKinney has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.