Cleveland @ Chicago Picks & Props

The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Elvis Andrus will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Elvis Andrus has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .044 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Andres Gimenez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Michael Kopech in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past week, Jake Burger's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 18.9% down to 7.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Gabriel Arias has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Placing in the 93rd percentile, the hardest ball Gabriel Arias has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day. Aaron Civale will hold the platoon advantage over Tim Anderson today. Tim Anderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 14.8% to 7.8%. Checking in at the 4th percentile, Tim Anderson sits with a .257 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Tim Anderson has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.77 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Yoan Moncada will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Robert will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Jose Ramirez's 23.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Yasmani Grandal will hold that advantage today. Yasmani Grandal has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Eloy Jimenez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Eloy Jimenez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Eloy Jimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oscar Gonzalez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Oscar Gonzalez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .227 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .083 deviation. By putting up a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Oscar Gonzalez is ranked in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Despite posting a .314 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Josh Bell has had some very poor luck given the .033 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .347.

The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Seby Zavala will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Seby Zavala's true offensive talent to be a .273, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .055 disparity between that figure and his actual .218 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Andrew Vaughn has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Steven Kwan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Steven Kwan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Kopech in today's matchup. Steven Kwan has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Civale today. Andrew Benintendi has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Cam Gallagher has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 24.88 ft/sec to 25.47 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Cam Gallagher has been unlucky this year, notching a .163 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .253 — a .090 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Will Brennan will have the handedness advantage against Michael Kopech in today's matchup. Will Brennan's launch angle in recent games (21.1° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 10.2° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Oscar Colas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today's matchup. Oscar Colas has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Oscar Colas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Oscar Colas has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .233 rate is quite a bit lower than his .273 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bo Naylor has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.