Texas @ San Diego Picks & Props

In the last 7 days, Robbie Grossman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.6% up to 14.3%. In the last week, Robbie Grossman's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's game. Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (20.4°) is significantly better than his 15.8° figure last season. Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 15.6% on the season to 30% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Xander Bogaerts will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Juan Soto has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Mitch Garver has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week's worth of games. Mitch Garver has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 94-mph in the past 7 days. Mitch Garver's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 45.5% on the season to 62.5% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) implies that Jake Cronenworth this year with his .209 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Adolis Garcia has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 96.3-mph. Adolis Garcia's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (20.4° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 16.1° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Josh Jung has posted a .362 BABIP this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.2°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.3° mark in the past 14 days. Marcus Semien's 19.2° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 94th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game.

Leody Taveras's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Leody Taveras has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.8°, Leody Taveras has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 19.1° mark over the past 14 days. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 41.4% to 48.2%.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today. Luis Campusano will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Travis Jankowski has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish in today's matchup. Travis Jankowski hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Travis Jankowski has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 87.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 85.9-mph average. Travis Jankowski has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 95th percentile with a 1.33 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Ezequiel Duran has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph EV. Over the last 7 days, Ezequiel Duran's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.6%. Using Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Duran is in the 90th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .289.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Gary Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today. Gary Sanchez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Gary Sanchez has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.5% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Gary Sanchez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.4° angle over the past 14 days.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Josh H. Smith has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.