Los Angeles @ Texas Picks & Props

The #2 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Dane Dunning will hold the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

The #2 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Bobby Miller will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Semien today. Marcus Semien has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .272 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage against Dane Dunning in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Max Muncy are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dane Dunning. Max Muncy has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 96.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. Compared to last season, Leody Taveras has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.4% to 48.1% this season. In notching a .359 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Leody Taveras is positioned in the 86th percentile for offensive ability. Checking in at the 84th percentile, Leody Taveras has posted a .280 batting average this year.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's game. Jonah Heim has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past week. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.2°, Jonah Heim has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.8° angle in the last two weeks. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13.4% to 20.2%. Jonah Heim has put up a .280 batting average this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's game. Ezequiel Duran has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past week. Over the last week, Ezequiel Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 105.2-mph of late. Ezequiel Duran's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (26.3° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 11° seasonal figure.

James Outman will hold the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning today. Extreme groundball batters like James Outman usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dane Dunning. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.3°, James Outman has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 34.3° figure in the past 7 days. James Outman and his 20.7° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in the majors this year. James Outman has compiled a .347 BABIP this year, ranking in the 91st percentile.

Globe Life Field ranks as the #28 stadium in the majors for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Mitch Garver has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph (an advanced stat to study power), grading out in the 78th percentile.

Travis Jankowski is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Miller today. Travis Jankowski will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. With a 1.17 K/BB rate this year, Travis Jankowski has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 95th percentile. Checking in at the 97th percentile, Travis Jankowski has notched a .317 batting average this year.

Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning today. Jason Heyward's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 39% to 46.3%. Using Statcast metrics, Jason Heyward is in the 85th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .358. Jason Heyward has posted a .350 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 76th percentile. Jason Heyward has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 89th percentile with a 1.59 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Adolis Garcia's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (31° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 15.9° seasonal figure. Adolis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 15.5% to 18.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage today. Josh Jung grades out in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (52.3% rate this year). Josh Jung has posted a .350 BABIP this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. David Peralta will have the handedness advantage against Dane Dunning today. David Peralta has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .312 mark is a good deal lower than his .350 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.3 mph compared to last year's 86.7 mph mark. Miguel Rojas's launch angle of late (28.5° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 12.1° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.317) may lead us to conclude that Miguel Rojas has had some very poor luck this year with his .250 actual wOBA.

Corey Seager has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Robbie Grossman has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

J.D. Martinez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Chris Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.