Texas @ New York Picks & Props

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #24 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The weather forecast projects the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dane Dunning will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres has put up a .264 BABIP this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #24 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The weather forecast projects the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Corey Seager has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-most humid conditions on the slate at 86%. Jonah Heim pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 13.4% to 21.4%. Jonah Heim has put up a .273 batting average this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Mitch Garver in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Mitch Garver has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.8% rate last season to 16.2% this year.

Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Anthony Rizzo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning today. Anthony Rizzo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Rizzo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Anthony Rizzo's launch angle recently (27.8° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 18.9° seasonal angle.

Billy McKinney will hold the platoon advantage over Dane Dunning today. Extreme groundball bats like Billy McKinney generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dane Dunning. Billy McKinney will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Billy McKinney has been hot lately, notching a a 17.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the past two weeks. Billy McKinney has been hot recently, compiling a 93.2-mph average exit velocity over the past week.

THE BAT X projects Marcus Semien in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Marcus Semien's launch angle lately (27.7° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 18.4° seasonal figure. Marcus Semien has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 81st percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate. Marcus Semien has compiled a .278 batting average this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

THE BAT X projects Josh Jung in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Josh Jung is in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (20.9% rate this year). Josh Jung has compiled a .339 BABIP this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Adolis Garcia in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Adolis Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 95.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 91.8-mph over the last 7 days. Adolis Garcia has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile for offensive ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Adolis Garcia has posted a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.

Extreme groundball bats like Anthony Volpe are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dane Dunning. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 94.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 92.3-mph in the last week. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 46% on the season to 57.1% over the past two weeks. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .196 BA is considerably lower than his .239 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Leody Taveras has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.2-mph. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 41.4% to 48.2%. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 48.2% on the season to 59.5% over the last 14 days. Leody Taveras has put up a .312 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 98th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Giancarlo Stanton will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .207 figure is a fair amount lower than his .250 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jake Bauers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. Jake Bauers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jake Bauers's launch angle in recent games (22° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 13.9° seasonal mark. Jake Bauers has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .341 mark is quite a bit lower than his .381 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Duran in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Duran has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 14 days. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 9.1% to 18.8%. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 44.2% on the season to 57.1% in the last week. Ezequiel Duran has notched a .370 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 91st percentile for hitting ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects DJ LeMahieu in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. DJ LeMahieu has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.

Jose Trevino will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jose Trevino has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .220 figure is considerably lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Robbie Grossman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Robbie Grossman has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), grading out in the 88th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-most humid conditions on the slate at 86%. Harrison Bader will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Harrison Bader has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 3.4% rate last year to 9.5% this year. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 15.5% to 26.2%.

Travis Jankowski has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.