Baltimore @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field ranks as the #25 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most suitable pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tyler Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Harold Ramirez today. Harold Ramirez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the best of all teams on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jose Siri has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.3% rate last season to 17.2% this season. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 15.8% to 23.7%.

THE BAT X projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Adley Rutschman has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adley Rutschman has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.7% to 20.7%.

THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today. Gunnar Henderson has notched a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Aaron Hicks pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Aaron Hicks has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile with a 1.9 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Wander Franco as the 8th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent. Wander Franco is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball. Wander Franco will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Wander Franco has notched a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 84th percentile for offensive skills (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Isaac Paredes will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Isaac Paredes has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91-mph. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (20.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.5° angle last season.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander's launch angle recently (17.8° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 21.2° seasonal angle. Anthony Santander's 21.4° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the majors: 97th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Austin Hays in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Austin Hays is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 16.1% to 20.9%. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 20.9% on the season to 32.4% over the past 14 days.

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 7.9% rate last season to 16% this season. Randy Arozarena has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last year's 89.8-mph average.

Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Taj Bradley today. Adam Frazier has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Adam Frazier has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3.6% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last two weeks. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 14.4% to 18.3%. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 18.3% on the season to 37% in the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Wells in today's game. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Luke Raley has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 96.5-mph.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Jorge Mateo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.2% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the past two weeks. Jorge Mateo has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 91.9-mph. Jorge Mateo's launch angle of late (24° in the past week's worth of games) is significantly better than his 9.8° seasonal figure. Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .273 rate is a fair amount lower than his .336 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (20.4°) is a considerable increase over his 16.4° mark last year.

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Manuel Margot will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Manuel Margot has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days. Manuel Margot has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph EV. Manuel Margot's launch angle of late (25.8° over the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 10.5° seasonal mark.

Ramon Urias has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Ramon Urias has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last two weeks.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.