Baltimore @ Tampa Bay props

THE BAT X projects Austin Hays in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Austin Hays is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Austin Hays has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 87.7-mph mark. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.1% to 20.8%.

THE BAT X projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Adley Rutschman has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adley Rutschman has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past week. Adley Rutschman has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.1-mph.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Jorge Mateo has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 23.8% over the last two weeks. Jorge Mateo has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 91.9-mph. Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .278 figure is quite a bit lower than his .334 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has put up a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 14.4% on the season to 23.5% in the past week. Anthony Santander's 21.2° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 97th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 16.3% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 92.9-mph figure.

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Siri will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jose Siri has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.3% rate last year to 17.2% this season. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 15.8% to 23.7%.

THE BAT X projects Wander Franco as the 8th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average talent. Wander Franco is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wander Franco will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Wander Franco has posted a .355 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 84th percentile for hitting ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Isaac Paredes has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 91-mph. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (20.3°) is considerably higher than his 15.5° mark last season.

THE BAT X projects Harold Ramirez as the 17th-best batter in the majors when estimating his batting average skill. Harold Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Harold Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Harold Ramirez's launch angle this season (8.1°) is a significant increase over his 4.8° figure last season. Harold Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 16.4% on the season to 26.3% over the past 14 days.

Ramon Urias has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Taylor Walls will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls's launch angle this year (20.3°) is considerably higher than his 16.4° mark last year.

Aaron Hicks pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Aaron Hicks has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile with a 1.9 K/BB rate.

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's game. Adam Frazier has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 3.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 14.4% to 18.1%. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 18.1% on the season to 35.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's game. Luke Raley will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Luke Raley has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 22% seasonal rate to 31.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Francisco Mejia pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Francisco Mejia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Francisco Mejia has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last year's 87-mph average.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.