Minute Maid Park
THE BAT X projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson has posted a .333 BABIP this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.
Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Martin Maldonado will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Martin Maldonado has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87-mph figure. Martin Maldonado has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .181 figure is a good deal lower than his .201 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Luke Maile has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 5.4% rate last season to 15.2% this year. Luke Maile has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 90.3-mph EV. Luke Maile's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (21.5°) is significantly higher than his 17.6° figure last year.
THE BAT X projects Kyle Tucker as the 19th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average skill. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Kyle Tucker will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Nick Senzel has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
THE BAT X projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Altuve will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jose Altuve has put up a .352 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile for offensive skills (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
THE BAT X projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Matt McLain has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the last week. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 21.2% on the season to 47.1% in the past week's worth of games.
Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.
Chas McCormick will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Chas McCormick has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.9% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week. Chas McCormick's launch angle recently (24° in the past week's worth of games) is significantly better than his 14.4° seasonal figure.
THE BAT X projects Jonathan India in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jonathan India has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.1% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last week's worth of games. Jonathan India's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 15% on the season to 35.3% in the last week's worth of games.
THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alex Bregman has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.5-mph figure.
THE BAT X projects Elly De La Cruz as the 10th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Elly De La Cruz has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB over the past 14 days — 114.8-mph — which is a strong proxy for recent form and raw power.
THE BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Jeremy Pena will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 18.8% on the season to 26.3% in the last two weeks. Spencer Steer's 18.3° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in MLB: 87th percentile.
THE BAT X projects Yainer Diaz in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Yainer Diaz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 94.2-mph. Yainer Diaz's launch angle lately (34° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 14.1° seasonal angle. Yainer Diaz has been hot in recent games, posting a a 17.4% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the last two weeks' worth of games.
THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Jose Abreu will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jose Abreu has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week's worth of games. Jose Abreu has been unlucky this year, posting a .266 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .341 — a .075 deviation.
Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Grae Kessinger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Corey Julks pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Corey Julks will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Corey Julks's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 15.9% on the season to 25% over the last 14 days.
Minute Maid Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for long-balls. Will Benson will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Bielak today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Benson can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Will Benson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 43.5% on the season to 57.1% over the past week.
Mauricio Dubon has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.
