San Diego @ Colorado Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Elias Diaz in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elias Diaz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week. Elias Diaz has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .349 figure is a fair amount higher than his .309 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the best of all teams today. Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Juan Soto has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 3.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Juan Soto's launch angle this season (4.2°) is considerably worse than his 9.1° figure last season.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the best of all teams today. Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 79.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ezequiel Tovar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week. Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .304 rate is quite a bit higher than his .276 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Ezequiel Tovar has notched a .275 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 10th percentile. Ezequiel Tovar has displayed bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 4th percentile with a 6.22 K/BB rate.

The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Randal Grichuk's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 91.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 89.8-mph over the past two weeks. Randal Grichuk has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .366 figure is quite a bit higher than his .321 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Randal Grichuk has displayed poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile with a 5.03 K/BB rate.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ryan McMahon has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season's 94.6-mph mark.

Elehuris Montero is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the league for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Elehuris Montero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Elehuris Montero will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the league for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Blake Snell. Jurickson Profar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dinelson Lamet today. Trent Grisham has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 17.9% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days. Trent Grisham has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 92-mph figure.

THE BAT X projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Nolan Jones will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Nolan Jones has been hot in recent games, putting up a an 18.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) over the last 7 days.

The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dinelson Lamet will have the handedness advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the best of all teams today. Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle this season (5.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 10.1° angle last season.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the league for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Alan Trejo will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Alan Trejo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alan Trejo ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (52% rate since the start of last season).

Gary Sanchez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the league for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Gary Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 16.7% to 21.4%. Gary Sanchez has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball in the last 7 days — 111.3-mph — which is a strong proxy for recent form and raw power.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Matt Carpenter will have the handedness advantage against Dinelson Lamet today. Matt Carpenter has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 87.3-mph figure. Matt Carpenter's launch angle lately (27.8° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 22° seasonal angle.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Rougned Odor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dinelson Lamet today. Rougned Odor has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph EV. Rougned Odor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 36% to 49.3%.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the league for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Austin Wynns will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Austin Wynns will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Austin Wynns's launch angle this season (14°) is significantly higher than his 9.5° mark last year.

Charlie Blackmon has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Manny Machado has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.