MLBN, SNLA, NBCSP

Los Angeles @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Betts
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-205
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-205
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #23 ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Mookie Betts has put up a .258 BABIP this year, ranking in the 16th percentile.

Mookie Betts

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #23 ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Mookie Betts has put up a .258 BABIP this year, ranking in the 16th percentile.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #23 venue in the league for LHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense. Caleb Ferguson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Harper today. Bryce Harper's launch angle this season (5.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 11.7° figure last year.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #23 venue in the league for LHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense. Caleb Ferguson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Harper today. Bryce Harper's launch angle this season (5.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 11.7° figure last year.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #23 ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense. Alec Bohm's 90.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 24th percentile this year.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #23 ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense. Alec Bohm's 90.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 24th percentile this year.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #23 ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense. Trea Turner has put up a .302 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile for offensive ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Trea Turner has displayed weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 14th percentile with a 4.17 K/BB rate.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #23 ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense. Trea Turner has put up a .302 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile for offensive ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Trea Turner has displayed weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 14th percentile with a 4.17 K/BB rate.

Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Vargas
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate.

Miguel Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate.

Drew Ellis Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

D. Ellis
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Drew Ellis will have the handedness advantage over OPP_SP today. Extreme groundball bats like Drew Ellis are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Victor Gonzalez.

Drew Ellis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Drew Ellis will have the handedness advantage over OPP_SP today. Extreme groundball bats like Drew Ellis are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Victor Gonzalez.

Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

G. Stubbs
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Garrett Stubbs will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Garrett Stubbs has compiled a .329 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Garrett Stubbs

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Garrett Stubbs will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Garrett Stubbs has compiled a .329 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Kody Clemens will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Kody Clemens's 18.6° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in MLB: 87th percentile.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Kody Clemens will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Kody Clemens's 18.6° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in MLB: 87th percentile.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Brandon Marsh has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Brandon Marsh has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

David Peralta Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

D. Peralta
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects David Peralta in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. David Peralta will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today.

David Peralta

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects David Peralta in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. David Peralta will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate.

Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Heyward
center outfield CF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate.

Jason Heyward

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 15th-best batter in the majors, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 15th-best batter in the majors, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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