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Philadelphia @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in MLB. On the slate today, the 3rd-best outfield defense is projected to be from the Atlanta Braves. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 15.8% on the season to 6.7% over the past week. With a .289 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X using Statcast data) this year, Trea Turner is positioned in the 14th percentile for offensive skills.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in MLB. On the slate today, the 3rd-best outfield defense is projected to be from the Atlanta Braves. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 15.8% on the season to 6.7% over the past week. With a .289 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X using Statcast data) this year, Trea Turner is positioned in the 14th percentile for offensive skills.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

By evaluating his BABIP ability, THE BAT X ranks Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Brandon Marsh hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 92.4-mph average compared to his 89.2-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Brandon Marsh.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

By evaluating his BABIP ability, THE BAT X ranks Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Brandon Marsh hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 92.4-mph average compared to his 89.2-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Brandon Marsh.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Via THE BAT X, it is projected that Bryce Harper will rank as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. When it comes to his batting average, Bryce Harper has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .297 rate falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .317.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Via THE BAT X, it is projected that Bryce Harper will rank as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. When it comes to his batting average, Bryce Harper has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .297 rate falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .317.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his batting average skill, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his batting average skill, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Orlando Arcia
O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Orlando Arcia has posted a .338 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Orlando Arcia has posted a .338 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Sean Murphy
S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Sean Murphy scores in the 95th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Sean Murphy scores in the 95th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. With a recent surge of games, Bryson Stott's Barrel% has significantly improved, as his seasonal rate of 4.3% rose to 11.1%. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 42% on the season to 53.8% over the last two weeks.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. With a recent surge of games, Bryson Stott's Barrel% has significantly improved, as his seasonal rate of 4.3% rose to 11.1%. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 42% on the season to 53.8% over the last two weeks.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Estimating Alec Bohm's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 95th percentile. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Alec Bohm will have the handedness advantage over Jared Shuster in today's game... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13.2% to 17.8%.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Estimating Alec Bohm's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 95th percentile. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Alec Bohm will have the handedness advantage over Jared Shuster in today's game... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13.2% to 17.8%.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. This season, Marcell Ozuna mostly batted in the later part of the batting order (100% of the time); however, for this matchup, he is expected to hit in the 5th spot. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. This season, Marcell Ozuna mostly batted in the later part of the batting order (100% of the time); however, for this matchup, he is expected to hit in the 5th spot. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Josh Harrison Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Josh Harrison
J. Harrison
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Josh Harrison will have the handedness advantage over Jared Shuster today... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Josh Harrison hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Harrison

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Josh Harrison will have the handedness advantage over Jared Shuster today... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Josh Harrison hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Eddie Rosario
E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Matt Olson projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Matt Olson projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Edmundo Sosa
E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Edmundo Sosa ranks in the 80th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.262) may lead us to conclude that Edmundo Sosa has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .243 actual batting average.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Edmundo Sosa ranks in the 80th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.262) may lead us to conclude that Edmundo Sosa has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .243 actual batting average.

Dalton Guthrie Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Dalton Guthrie
D. Guthrie
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Dalton Guthrie will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and even more favorably, Shuster has a large platoon split. Grading out in the 93rd percentile with a sprint speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie displays remarkable toolsyism.

Dalton Guthrie

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Dalton Guthrie will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and even more favorably, Shuster has a large platoon split. Grading out in the 93rd percentile with a sprint speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie displays remarkable toolsyism.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Travis d'Arnaud
T. d'Arnaud
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.04
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.06
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Nick Castellanos has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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