Philadelphia @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in MLB. On the slate today, the 3rd-best outfield defense is projected to be from the Atlanta Braves. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 15.8% on the season to 6.7% over the past week. With a .289 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X using Statcast data) this year, Trea Turner is positioned in the 14th percentile for offensive skills.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

By evaluating his BABIP ability, THE BAT X ranks Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Brandon Marsh hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 92.4-mph average compared to his 89.2-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Brandon Marsh.

Via THE BAT X, it is projected that Bryce Harper will rank as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. When it comes to his batting average, Bryce Harper has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .297 rate falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .317.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Orlando Arcia has posted a .338 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Sean Murphy scores in the 95th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. With a recent surge of games, Bryson Stott's Barrel% has significantly improved, as his seasonal rate of 4.3% rose to 11.1%. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 42% on the season to 53.8% over the last two weeks.

Estimating Alec Bohm's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 95th percentile. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Alec Bohm will have the handedness advantage over Jared Shuster in today's game... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13.2% to 17.8%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. This season, Marcell Ozuna mostly batted in the later part of the batting order (100% of the time); however, for this matchup, he is expected to hit in the 5th spot. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Josh Harrison will have the handedness advantage over Jared Shuster today... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Josh Harrison hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Matt Olson projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Edmundo Sosa ranks in the 80th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.262) may lead us to conclude that Edmundo Sosa has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .243 actual batting average.

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Dalton Guthrie will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and even more favorably, Shuster has a large platoon split. Grading out in the 93rd percentile with a sprint speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie displays remarkable toolsyism.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.