St. Louis @ Cleveland Picks & Props

When it comes to his BABIP capability, Gabriel Arias is projected in the 94th percentile by THE BAT X. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Gabriel Arias will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup. Gabriel Arias has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gabriel Arias will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Estimating Andres Gimenez's batting average skill, THE BAT X projects him in the 85th percentile. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Andres Gimenez will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, THE BAT X believes Andres Gimenez has experienced some negative variance given the .040 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.

This game is expected to have the most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Matthew Liberatore will hold the platoon advantage over Steven Kwan in today's matchup. Of all teams today, the best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. In the past week, Steven Kwan's launch angle has been notably reduced to -2.3°, which is quite a bit worse than his seasonal average of 12.1°.

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to THE BAT X. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Progressive Field has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 93.8-mph average compared to his 90.8-mph figure from the previous year, as demonstrated by Paul Goldschmidt.

Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation.

THE BAT X projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Progressive Field has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Shane Bieber in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

THE BAT X projections rank Jose Ramirez as the 18th-best batter in the majors. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Assessing his overall offensive captalent, Lars Nootbaar scores in the 89th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

THE BAT X projects Myles Straw in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Myles Straw will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore today. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (48.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Myles Straw will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Tommy Edman's batting average skill is estimated to be in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Tommy Edman has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.5-mph average. In recent times, Tommy Edman has enhanced his capability to strike the ball at an optimal base hit launch angle (ranging from -4° to 26°), with a surge from 37.9% throughout the season to 55.6% in the preceding 7 days.

Assessing his overall offensive captalent, Willson Contreras scores in the 94th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Willson Contreras has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Comparing his current average of 92.3 mph to last year's figure of 90.3 mph, there has been a significant boost in Willson Contreras's exit velocity this season.

In terms of his batting average talent, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 87th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage against Shane Bieber in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brendan Donovan stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brendan Donovan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 15.7% on the season to 23.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Paul DeJong has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 13.3% to 22.2%. From last season to this one, Paul DeJong has improved his capability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes his BABIP, which has increased from 36.1% to 51.7%. In recent games, Paul DeJong has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 51.7% during the season to 77.8% in the past week.

Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alec Burleson can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Alec Burleson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .291 figure is quite a bit lower than his .366 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Alec Burleson grades out in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.5% rate since the start of last season).

Progressive Field has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. With an impressive metric1° launch angle, which is a dependable measurement to evaluate a batter's capability to hit powerful shots, Oscar Mercado ranks in the 95th percentile for having one of the highest angles in the game.

Sitting at the 7th-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Progressive Field tends to provide more offense due to its high elevation. Mike Zunino will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Mike Zunino pulls many of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Mike Zunino will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Grading out in the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Mike Zunino has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Amed Rosario has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.