Final May 13
MIL 0 +119 o9.0
CLE 2 -129 u9.0
Final (11) May 13
BOS 9 +110 o8.5
DET 10 -119 u8.5
Final (10) May 13
CHW 5 +186 o9.0
CIN 1 -205 u9.0
Final May 13
TB 11 +128 o8.0
TOR 9 -138 u8.0
Final May 13
PIT 1 +210 o7.5
NYM 2 -233 u7.5
Final May 13
WAS 2 +185 o8.0
ATL 5 -203 u8.0
Final May 13
MIA 4 +224 o8.0
CHC 5 -249 u8.0
Final May 13
COL 1 +192 o8.5
TEX 4 -212 u8.5
Final May 13
KC 1 +121 o7.5
HOU 2 -131 u7.5
Final (11) May 13
NYY 1 -142 o7.5
SEA 2 +130 u7.5
Final May 13
LAA 4 +195 o7.5
SD 6 -215 u7.5
Final May 13
AZ 6 -110 o7.5
SF 10 +102 u7.5
Final May 13
ATH 11 +174 o9.5
LAD 1 -190 u9.5
NBCSP, NESN

Boston @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Alex Verdugo has had a launch angle of 0.1° which is significantly lower than his seasonal mark of 7.4°. Although THE BAT X predicted Alex Verdugo's true talent level to be .337, he has been fortunate this year by achieving a .392 wOBA, resulting in a difference of .055 between the two.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Alex Verdugo has had a launch angle of 0.1° which is significantly lower than his seasonal mark of 7.4°. Although THE BAT X predicted Alex Verdugo's true talent level to be .337, he has been fortunate this year by achieving a .392 wOBA, resulting in a difference of .055 between the two.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Bryson Stott's launch angle this year (7.5°) is significantly lower than his 13.2° figure last season. In terms of his batting average this year, Bryson Stott's .295 figure has been significantly higher than his .265 Expected Batting Average (which is based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), indicating that he has been fortunate.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Bryson Stott's launch angle this year (7.5°) is significantly lower than his 13.2° figure last season. In terms of his batting average this year, Bryson Stott's .295 figure has been significantly higher than his .265 Expected Batting Average (which is based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), indicating that he has been fortunate.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Masataka Yoshida
M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Although THE BAT X predicted Masataka Yoshida's true talent level to be .370, he has been fortunate this year by achieving a .405 wOBA, resulting in a difference of .035 between the two.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Although THE BAT X predicted Masataka Yoshida's true talent level to be .370, he has been fortunate this year by achieving a .405 wOBA, resulting in a difference of .035 between the two.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

Justin Turner
J. Turner
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Edmundo Sosa
E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projections rank Rafael Devers as the 18th-best hitter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projections rank Rafael Devers as the 18th-best hitter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kody Clemens
K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

Triston Casas
T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Christian Arroyo Total Hits Props • Boston

Christian Arroyo
C. Arroyo
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Christian Arroyo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, Kyle Schwarber is predicted to be the 17th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to THE BAT X, Kyle Schwarber is predicted to be the 17th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Raimel Tapia Total Hits Props • Boston

Raimel Tapia
R. Tapia
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Raimel Tapia in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Raimel Tapia is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Raimel Tapia will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

Raimel Tapia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Raimel Tapia in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Raimel Tapia is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Raimel Tapia will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

Enrique Hernandez
E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kike Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kike Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

Enmanuel Valdez
E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast