Boston @ Baltimore props

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and this game projects for the 3rd-driest conditions of all games today at 30%. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best of all teams today. Rafael Devers's footspeed has fallen off this year. His 25.47 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.72 ft/sec now. Rafael Devers has been lucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .290 rate is quite a bit higher than his .267 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish today.

THE BAT X projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish today. Alex Verdugo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Christian Arroyo has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core talent for batting average), checking in at the 99th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season. Christian Arroyo has put up a .267 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Justin Turner is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Justin Turner has compiled a .271 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Bradish today. Jarren Duran hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Jarren Duran is in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.4% rate since the start of last season).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Bradish today. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Triston Casas has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .169 BA is quite a bit lower than his .199 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Triston Casas has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Bradish today. Reese McGuire has been hot lately, posting a .370 wOBA over the past two weeks. Reese McGuire is in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46.1% rate since the start of last season).

Kike Hernandez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Kike Hernandez's 16.7° launch angle is among the highest in the majors: 84th percentile.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. The standard deviation of Yu Chang's launch angle since the start of last season (25.2°) is in the 82nd percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

Anthony Santander has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Jorge Mateo has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Gunnar Henderson has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Adam Frazier has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ramon Urias has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ryan Mountcastle has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Austin Hays has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Cedric Mullins has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Adley Rutschman has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.