Tottenham vs Brighton Predictions, Picks & Odds for Saturday’s Premier League Match

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 17, 2026 , 11:00 AM ET • 4 min read

Our Tottenham vs. Brighton predictions have eyes for a particular Pedro Porro prop pick.

Pedro Porro Tottenham EPL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Pedro Porro applauds during a recent Tottenham match.

The Premier League relegation battle is heating up, and Tottenham’s home game against Brighton is an absolute must-watch on Saturday.

Spurs lost in Roberto De Zerbi’s first game in charge, but there were notable changes in how they set up, which is why our Tottenham vs. Brighton predictions and free betting picks are backing Pedro Porro to have 2+ shots.

Premier League predictions for Tottenham vs Brighton

My Tottenham vs Brighton best bet: Pedro Porro 2+ shots (+225 at Sports Interaction)

Spurs’ Pedro Porro has been an important member of their lineup since joining the club, but in Roberto De Zerbi’s first game, he was integral to what the new coach wanted his team to do on the ball.

Only two players played more passes than him, and he was a dangerous part of the Spurs’ attack.

He had three shots, getting all three on target, against Sunderland. That’s up from his season average of 0.92 shots per 90 minutes played. Fullbacks have been an important part of De Zerbi’s previous teams, and Porro will likely get into dangerous positions with plenty of chances to shoot again.

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Tottenham vs Brighton same-game parlay (SGP)

Pedro Porro 2+ shots

Pedro Porro 1+ fouls

Kaoru Mitoma 1+ fouls

We’re really focusing on Porro’s role in De Zerbi’s Tottenham team. Against Sunderland, he committed a foul and picked up a yellow card, but he’s continually been a foul risk, averaging 1.08 fouls per 90 minutes played for Spurs this campaign. Against the speed of Brighton’s attack, he should concede a foul again.

Porro’s attacking threat will need to be nullified, and he’ll be matched up against Kaoru Mitoma. The Brighton forward has given up 1.5 fouls per 90 minutes played this season, and will need to work hard against Spurs’ right side, featuring Porro and Randal Kolo Muani.

Tottenham vs Brighton odds

How to watch Tottenham vs Brighton

Location Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
Date Saturday, April 18, 2026
Time 12:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC
Weather Partly sunny.
TottenhamRecent EPL form L-L-D-L-L
Brighton and Hove AlbionRecent EPL form W-W-L-W-W

Tottenham vs Brighton key injuries

Tottenham: Cristian Romero CB (Out), Wilson Odobert FWR (Out), Ben Davies LB (Out), Mohammed Kudus FWR (Out), Dejan Kulusevski FWR (Out), James Maddison FWR (Out), Guglielmo Vicario GK (Out).
Brighton: Lewis Dunk CB (Out).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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