Tottenham vs Leicester City Premier League predictions, picks

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 18, 2020 , 02:27 AM ET

In Tottenham's last seven EPL matches at home they've come away with five wins and a draw. Do we see the trend continuing Sunday vs. Leicester? Get our best picks for this EPL tilt.

Lucas Moura Tottenham Hotspur EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Tottenham vs Leicester City headlines Premier League betting action on Sunday as two teams with plenty still at stake battle it out at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in north London.

The visiting Foxes are even with fifth-place Manchester United, so every point counts as they fight for a Champions League berth. The Hotspurs are seventh on the table, just one point behind Wolves, and still very much in contention for Europa League qualification. 

Here are our best Premier League predictions and soccer betting picks for Tottenham vs Leicester City on July 19, with kickoff set for 11 a.m. ET.

Tottenham (+125) vs Leicester City (+225, Draw +230)

Quick Hitter

Leicester City are one of the most trigger-shy squads in the Premiership. Only 35% of their goals come in the first half, one of the EPL's largest discrepancies. That habit has only been heightened since COVID, where Leicester have just two first-half goals in eight matches. 

Tottenham carry a far more balanced scoring spread: 28 first-half goals vs. 29 second-half scores on the season. But their recent form suggests a trend similar to Leicester. Since returning from the layoff, two-thirds of the Hotspurs' goals have been potted in the second half.

The math leans towards a lower-scoring first half and at even money it's hard to say no. 

PREDICTION: Second half with most goals (+100)

 

Player/Team Prop

Harry Kane's form has come under scrutiny lately, but Tottenham's star has answered with a strong post-COVID showing. Acing four goals in seven matches, Kane netted two in his last outing against Newcastle, and has sent six of his seven shots on target over his past two matches.

The odds are generous with Kane having a bit of an underwhelming season given his reputation. Tottenham will look to salvage their season with a Europa berth, and they'll need to chase max points to do so. Look for extra impetus from them to score, and for Kane to be likewise motivated to silence his detractors. 

PREDICTION: Harry Kane anytime goal (+125)

Over/Under Bet

Leicester City sits third in the EPL in scoring with 67 goals this season and has converted on the Over 2.5 goals in 58 percent of all matches. Tottenham isn't too far behind them, ranking sixth in the Premier League in goals scored and cashing in on the Over 2.5 in 61 percent of their contests.

With six of the last seven games in the head-to-head going above the 2.5 goal threshold and the O/U 2.5 priced at even money, grab the Over. 

PREDICTION: Over 2.5 goals (-110)

Side Bet

In Tottenham's last seven EPL matches at home they've come away with five wins and a draw. On the other hand, Leicester City has struggled on the road, failing to win a single match in their previous seven away contests - with four losses in that span. 

A 4-1 loss to lowly Bournemouth last Sunday exposed many of the Foxes' flaws. With Tottenham's current form and Leicester City's injuries to their backline, take the home side to come away with the victory. 

PREDICTION: Tottenham (+125)

 
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Tottenham vs Leicester City Premier League betting card

  • Second half with most goals (+100)
  • Harry Kane anytime goal (+125)
  • Over 2.5 goals (-110)
  • Tottenham (+125)

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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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