Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Predictions and Picks: Spurs Stay Hot in Derby

After reclaiming top spot in the Premier League, Tottenham once again plays in a London derby when they travel a few miles south and face Crystal Palace as EPL odds favorites.

While they sit mid-table after nine matches, Palace are coming off a 4-0 drubbing at Newcastle and are trying to tread water as they await the return of multiple key players. They’ve tasted victory just once over their last six matches in all competitions, having scored just two goals in that span.

For Tottenham, it’s been a brilliant start to the Ange Postecoglou era. Their 2-0 win over Fulham on Monday secured him the record for most points taken from a manager’s first nine matches in charge, and moved them back into first place at the quarter-mark of the season. 

Can Tottenham maintain their place atop the table, or will their cross-city rivals find a way to get a result? We break down all the betting angles in our Crystal Palace vs Tottenham soccer betting picks and predictions for Friday, October 27.  

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham best odds

EPL predictions for Crystal Palace vs Tottenham

So far through the first nine matches of the Premier League season, only Manchester City has conceded fewer goals than Tottenham. Their eight goals allowed is a key reason they sit atop the table, as their 20 goals at the other end have allowed them to take 23 of a possible 27 points thus far.

While Crystal Palace have played well defensively this campaign, conceding just 11 goals through nine outings, they’ve been struggling to find the back of the net. A combination of poor finishing and numerous injuries to their creative players has seen them score just seven goals, despite having a 10.1 expected goals mark. 

It’s for these two reasons that we’re backing Tottenham to be the only team on the scoresheet when the final whistle blows on Friday. 

It’s difficult for any team to find consistent goals when they’re missing their two best playmakers, which is the case for Palace. Both Michael Olise and Eberechi Eze continue to be sidelined with injuries, a key reason they’ve managed just two goals in their last six outings. 

Eze last appeared in their only win during that stretch, a 1-0 win over Manchester United. He missed the ensuing two matches, during which Palace have managed just five shots on target. Meanwhile, Olise has yet to appear for the side this season, although he’s returned to training this week. 

At the other end, things aren’t much better at the moment. Goalkeeper Dean Henderson is out, as are defenders Nathan Ferguson and James Tomkins. Heung-min Son will be looking to take advantage of those absences, having scored seven goals with an assist in his six matches since Postecoglou moved him into the striker role.

With Yves Bissouma set to return from suspension, Spurs are going to have their strongest lineup available. Tottenham have been outstanding at maintaining possession, and with Bissouma, they’ve been excellent at getting it back. 

Spurs rank fifth in passing completion percentage, while Palace rank sixth-worst in passing completion rate against. They’ve also had the second-most touches in their opponent’s final third, and by far the most touches in their opponent’s penalty area—two areas Palace opponent’s are finding quite a bit of success in.

Defensively, Spurs have the seventh-lowest xGA in the league, and they’ve conceded an average of just four shots on goal per 90 minutes. Their 0.14 goals allowed per shot on goal is by far the best mark in the Premier League, and they’re best in the league in opponent passing completion rate.  

Tottenham should come away with all three points, and it’s hard to see Palace finding a goal against Spurs’ stingy defense without their best attacking threats. I love the price for a Spurs win without conceding, so take the +220 odds and enjoy the profit as they keep their fourth-consecutive clean sheet against Palace.  

My best bet: Only Tottenham to score (+220 at TonyBet)

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Crystal Palace vs Tottenham same-game parlay

Tottenham to win to nil (+225)
Heung-min Son to score or assist (-150)
Spurs 2 or more goals winning margin (+200)

+500 at bet365

Head over to bet365 for our same-game parlay, where we’re backing Spurs to win by multiple goals with a familiar name finding the scoresheet.

Son’s move from left wing to striker changed the entire look of their attack, and he’s been a monster over the past six matches. He’s managed 12 shots on target and taken 15 shots inside the penalty area during that span, and he’s also registered nine key passes. We’re backing him to either score, or set up a teammate with an assist. 

James Maddison’s creativity has also been key to their production of late. In that same timeframe, the England midfielder has registered 20 key passes and put 11 efforts on goal, giving him two goals and three assists in those six outings. 

He’s going to be key to helping pick apart Palace’s compact defense, and I expect him to be the catalyst in the side scoring multiple goals. Tottenham has achieved that feat in nine of their last 10 matches in the Premier League, and this one will be no different.

Given we’re taking them to win to nil, this means they’ll win by at least two goals. Combine all three legs and enjoy a +500 payday!

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham side and Over/Under analysis

Spurs have claimed seven wins and two draws from their first nine fixtures in league play, while Palace has an even 3-3-3 record so far. But Palace’s defensive record this season is likely why Spurs are priced at a reasonable -120 on the 3-way line as the away side.

At +295, the draw offers value for those who think the 4-0 loss to Newcastle was just a blip on the radar for Palace. However, Palace’s price to win at +350 isn’t high enough for me to even consider, as I’d want at least +425 in this matchup. 

Spurs have taken victory in the last three meetings between these two teams, including a 4-0 win at Selhurst Park a season ago. They’ve outscored them 8-0 in those fixtures, and they’re going to win again here.

As for the Total, I think there could be some value in the Under 2.5. Priced at +115 at TonyBet, a 2-0 result is what I have projected for this match. It’s the same scoreline they had against Fulham on Monday, following a 1-0 win over Luton the week before. 

For all their issues scoring, Palace have kept clean sheets in three of their last five matches. But they’ve also conceded three or more goals in three of their last six in all competitions, with five of their 11 matches going Over the 2.5 goal tally.

The Over 2.5 is priced at -135 or more, but I’ll personally be staying away from that price. It’s not worth the juice given the projections for the match, especially when we’re already parlaying the two or more goals for Spurs. 

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham game info

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham key injuries

Crystal Palace: Michael Olise M (Out), Eberechie Eze M (Out), Dean Henderson GK (Out). 
Tottenham: Rodrigo Bentancur M (Out), Ryan Sessegnon D (Out), Ivan Perisic M (Out). 

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham recent league form

Teams	Recent Premier League Form
Crystal Palace	L-D-W-D-L
Tottenham	W-W-W-D-W

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