We’ve only got one midweek Premier League game this week with Burnley hosting Leicester City. Burnley enter the week sitting 18th in the league and one point from safety. Leicester are only in 13th with 27 points but have played substantially fewer games than those around them.
This is an important game with Brendan Rodgers under pressure at Leicester and Burnley fighting against the drop. Don’t miss our Burnley vs. Leicester City tips and predictions.
Burnley vs Leicester City match odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare EPL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Burnley vs Leicester City betting tips
- Prediction: Leicester City (+140)
- Prediction: Under 2.5 goals (-110)
- Best bet: Draw/Leicester (Halftime/Full-time) (+500)
Predictions made on 2/28/2022 at 8:22 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Burnley vs Leicester City game info
• Location: Turf Moor, Burnley, England
• Date: Tuesday, March 1, 2022
• Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
• TV: USA Network
Burnley vs Leicester City betting preview
Weather
When this game kicks off at 7:45 p.m. local time, there are going to be rain showers with temperatures around 40 degrees.
Injuries
Burnley: Maxwel Cornet FB (Out) Erik Pieters LB (Questionable), Dale Stephens CM, Charlie Taylor LB (Probable), Ashley Westwood DM (Probable), Matej Vydra ST (Out), Johann Berg Gudmundsson W (Out).
Leicester City: Timothy Castagne RB (Out), Jonny Evans CB (Out), James Justin RB (Out), Wesley Fofana CB (Out), Ryan Bertrand LB (Out).
Burnley vs Leicester City predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Side analysis
The reason this is the sole midweek Premier League game is down to the large number of postponements that happened over the festive period and Burnley and Leicester have only played 24 and 23 games, respectively, some way behind the 27 that some teams have managed.
Burnley sit 18th in the Premier League table, two points clear of 19th-place Watford with two games in hand. Likewise, they’re only one point behind Everton, two behind Leeds, and three behind Brentford, who have played three more games than them. There were moments, not long ago, when it looked like the Clarets’ run in the Premier League could be over with the team languishing at the bottom of the table. Since the turn of the year, Sean Dyche has done brilliantly.
Striker Chris Wood got poached by fellow strugglers Newcastle, who met a release clause in his contract and left the club powerless to turn down the bid but they subsequently signed Wout Weghorst from Wolfsburg. The tall Dutchman had a prolific record in front of goal in the Bundesliga, scoring 59 goals in 118 games for Wolfsburg and despite only scoring one so far for Burnley he looks a great signing.
What Dyche has done brilliantly throughout his tenure at Turf Moor is create a team that is more than the sum of its parts and he’s done it again. The likes of Josh Brownhill and Ashley Westwood might not be the most stylish of midfielder duos but their partnership is strong, hard-working, and they do a great job in shielding the back four. The core of this team is its strength, with the aforementioned Weghorst up top, Westwood and Brownhill in the middle of the park, the underrated Ben Mee and James Tarkowski a great duo in the heart of the defense, and then England international Nick Pope in goal.
Burnley won’t win many plaudits for their style of play but they’re experts in doing enough and pound-for-pound they’re one of the toughest teams in the division to beat.
Leicester come into this game with manager Brendan Rodgers under some pressure. The Northern Irishman has done fantastically with the club since arriving but results this year haven’t been up to their usual standard, with the team losing 10 of their 23 games in the Premier League.
They come into this after an extended rest having not played since the last Thursday in the Europa Conference League. They’re still missing defender Jonny Evans, who has been a massive loss. Likewise, they will probably play this game without James Justin, who is still recovering from injury.
This game will be cagey with neither manager wanting to lose. Dyche will set up Burnley in his usual — extremely British — 4-4-2 with Rodgers using the 4-3-3 that’s served him well over the years. The key to the game will be the battle in the middle of the park. Brownhill and Westwood will look to subdue the Leicester team but I feel the freshness that the Foxes have will probably make it too hard of a task. With the fantastic Wilfred Ndidi acting as a shield, it’ll allow Youri Tielemans and James Maddison space to create and support the front three.
Truth be told, this is unlikely to be a stone-cold classic game but it should be an interesting tactical battle. Despite Burnley’s recent good form, I’d lean toward Leicester taking this one.
Prediction: Leicester City (+140)
Over/Under analysis
One thing we know about Sean Dyche is he sets his Burnley team up to keep things tight at the back and avoid defeat. That might not make them the most attractive team to watch in the league but they’re very hard to beat. As a result, Burnley never concedes many goals on their home turf. There have been Under 2.5 goals in 72.7% of their home games this year, and no games with three or more goals since November. His team is improving each week and they should manage to keep this low scoring.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals (-110)
Best bet
I think we’re set to see a tightly fought game. That leads me to a couple of potential best bets. Firstly, I love the +850 odds on Leicester winning 1-0, which I think is probably the most likely scoreline but I’ll take the +500 on offer for the game to be tied at halftime with Leicester winning at full-time to be safe.
Burnley have kept a clean sheet until halftime in two of their past three games and will fancy their chances of doing it again on home turf. Ultimately, I think Leicester have a little bit too much about them and too much creativity to believe that they won’t unlock the Burnley defense eventually.
Pick: Draw/Leicester (Halftime/Full-time) (+500)
