Arsenal vs Chelsea Predictions, Picks & Odds for Tuesday's EFL Carabao Cup Match

Rosu's prediction: Fireworks at the Emirates.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Feb 2, 2026 • 17:14 ET • 4 min read
Alejandro Garnacho of Chelsea FC in action during the Uefa Champions League.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Alejandro Garnacho of Chelsea FC in action during the Uefa Champions League.

Arsenal vs. Chelsea sets the stage for a fiery second leg, with Arsenal favourites to reach the final after their 3-2 triumph in the first leg, but it’s certainly going to be heated at the Emirates when Chelsea come visiting.

This London derby should have everything on display and promises to enchant fans on both sides, as well as neutrals. I will go for goals, as I believe we’re going to witness an attacking show from both teams.

Here are my Arsenal vs. Chelsea predictions and free betting picks for February 3.

Arsenal vs Chelsea picks and predictions

My Arsenal vs Chelsea best bet: Over 2.5 goals (-147 at Sports Interaction)

Arsenal vs. Chelsea should once again deliver goals after a wide-open 3–2 first leg, and there’s little reason to expect either side to dial back the attacking approach in the return match.

Chelsea must push for goals to keep their hopes alive, while Arsenal are dangerous enough going forward to score regardless of how the game state develops. It’s hard to see Arsenal being kept quiet at home, especially with rotation likely bringing in players eager to prove themselves on a big stage.

There have been at least four goals scored in each of Arsenal’s previous four matches across all competitions, while Chelsea are in strong scoring form themselves after netting three goals in each of their last three outings.

Chelsea have also won all five matches since the first-leg loss, so confidence is high heading into this decisive encounter. Over 2.5 goals is the safest angle, but bettors should note that Sports Interaction offering +170 on Over 3.5 goals adds real upside in a matchup that profiles as another shootout.

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Arsenal vs Chelsea same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 2.5 goals

Over 8.5 corners

Alejandro Garnacho 1+ shot on target

Cole Palmer 1+ shot on target

Martin Odegaard 1+ shot on target

Garnacho scored twice in the first leg and will be eager to make his mark again, especially with his playing time in the Premier League and Champions League limited so far. I’m also counting on Cole Palmer, Chelsea’s primary attacking threat, to step up. He has recorded at least one shot on target in five of his last six appearances, making him a must-have in my SGP.

Dealing with injuries throughout the campaign, Martin Odegaard should find pockets of space against Chelsea. He’s hungry to return to his most influential form, which is why he’s also part of my parlay. To boost the SGP payout to a healthy +1,150, I’m adding corners. With sustained pressure expected at both ends, Over 8.5 corners profiles as a strong complementary angle.

Arsenal vs Chelsea odds

Arsenal Arsenal Chelsea Chelsea
-147 Moneyline +360
+300 Draw ODDS
Over 2.5 (-147) Total Under 2.5 (+105)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch Arsenal vs Chelsea

Location Emirates Stadium, London, England
Date Tuesday, February 3, 2025
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV Paramount+
Weather Light rain.

Arsenal vs Chelsea key injuries

Arsenal: Mikel Merino CM (Out), Bukayo Saka RW (Questionable), Max Dowman FW (Out).
Chelsea: Tosin Adarabioyo CB (Out), Levi Colwill CB (Out), Romeo Lavia CM (Out), Jamie Gittens AM (Out).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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