We’re at Wembley Stadium on Sunday for the Carabao Cup final between Arsenal and Manchester City, the first chance for hardware and a pause in their league title battle.
Arsenal’s impressive season has been built on a strong defense, but there’s one man who has consistently performed well against them, which is why our Arsenal vs. Manchester City predictions have Erling Haaland scoring for Pep Guardiola’s team.
Read on for my Carabao Cup Final picks for March 22.
Arsenal vs Man City picks and predictions
My Arsenal vs Man City best bet: Erling Haaland to score (+130 at Sports Interaction)
Nobody has scored more for Man City this season than Erling Haaland, who has already racked up 30 goals between the league and European competition.
After an unusually long gap of four games without scoring, the Norwegian got back amongst the goals midweek, scoring against Real Madrid.
Haaland has a great record against Arsenal, scoring in his previous three meetings with the Gunners. He’s played them seven times in the league since arriving from Dortmund and scored in five of those meetings, averaging over three shots per game, and over two on target.
Arsenal vs Man City same-game parlay (SGP)
Draw
Bukayo Saka to record 1+ shots on target
Total cards Over 2.5
Meetings between the teams have been close on recent occasions, with three of the past four Arsenal against Man City games finishing level after 90 minutes. Add in the occasion and importance of a cup final, and a draw seems like a strong chance.
Arsenal’s Bukayo Saka has averaged 1.17 shots on target per 90 minutes played in the league this season and faces a City defense missing Josko Gvardiol and the suspended Marc Guehi.
We’ve seen 28 cards in the previous six meetings between Arsenal and Man City, with Over 2.5 cards in four of those six matchups.
Arsenal vs Man City odds
 Arsenal |
 Man City |
|
|---|---|---|
| +137 | Moneyline | +200 |
| +230 | Draw | +230 |
| Over 2.5 (-115) | Total | Under 2.5 (-122 |
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.
Arsenal vs Man City opening odds
- Moneyline: Arsenal +137 | Man City +200
- Draw: +230
- Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-115) | Under 2.5 (-122)
How to watch Arsenal vs Man City
| Location | Wembley Stadium, London, England |
| Date | Sunday, March 22, 2026 |
| Time | 12:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Paramount+ |
| Weather | Cloudy |
Arsenal vs Man City key injuries
Arsenal: Merino FWR (Out), Jurrien Timber DEF (Questionable), Martin Odegaard CM (Questionable), Mikel Eberechi Eze FWR (Questionable).
Man City: Mateo Kovacic CM (Out), Josko Gvardiol DEF (Out), Marc Guehi CB (Out).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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