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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Holmey's $$$$ Thread TUESDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 02.23.16

    1234 Next Last»
    USC_Holmey
    nfl_brosuf
    Mozart
    rf_dawg
    SUPEREAGLE43
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 16712
    Posts: 93
    1234 Next Last»
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 10:30 PM ET #1

    $$$$ THREAD CONCEPT - This thread is for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

    THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST!

    PLEASE make special note of this! If you have an area of expertise, please make some $$$$ choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "$$$$ PLAY". The difference between a PICK and a $$$$ PLAY is that a PICK is a game you like, a $$$$ PLAY is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a $$$$, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

    RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your $$$$ PLAY if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won't be putting your $$$$ on the spreadsheet.

    Only one $$$$  per day and a MAXIMUM of 4 per week. 

    A week starts on Mon and ends on Sun.

    - No buying points.

    - No other "line-manipulations" like teasers, etc.

    - No parlays

    - No props

    - $$$$ PLAYS need to be -129 or lower.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs.

    - Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the $$$$ doesn't go into the spreadsheet.


    AND THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE!

    You must give an ORIGINAL explanation as to why you KNOW this $$$$ PLAY will win. And don't just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.

    FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR $$$$ PICK WILL GET TRACKED

    Thank you for your understanding and your help in keeping this thread for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    $$$$ THREAD CONCEPT - This thread is for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

    THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST!

    PLEASE make special note of this! If you have an area of expertise, please make some $$$$ choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "$$$$ PLAY". The difference between a PICK and a $$$$ PLAY is that a PICK is a game you like, a $$$$ PLAY is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a $$$$, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

    RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your $$$$ PLAY if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won't be putting your $$$$ on the spreadsheet.

    Only one $$$$  per day and a MAXIMUM of 4 per week. 

    A week starts on Mon and ends on Sun.

    - No buying points.

    - No other "line-manipulations" like teasers, etc.

    - No parlays

    - No props

    - $$$$ PLAYS need to be -129 or lower.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs.

    - Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the $$$$ doesn't go into the spreadsheet.


    AND THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE!

    You must give an ORIGINAL explanation as to why you KNOW this $$$$ PLAY will win. And don't just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.

    FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR $$$$ PICK WILL GET TRACKED

    Thank you for your understanding and your help in keeping this thread for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 10:31 PM ET #2

    Another good night for the thread going 5-2 on $$$$'s.  Keep it going today guys!
    Reply
    Another good night for the thread going 5-2 on $$$$'s.  Keep it going today guys!
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posts: 896
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 10:43 PM ET #3

    $$$$ THREAD RESULTS/STANDINGS THRU FEB. 22

    Monday $$$$ W/L: 5-2
    TOTAL OVERALL W/L TO DATE: 130-109-5

    $$$$ OF THE DAY:

    STANDINGS:

    I can't type out everyone's name any more here, so from now on, the Standings will show people who have made a minimum number of $$$$'s.

    MINIMUM OF 4 $$$$'s MADE

    THE ELITE EIGHT

    1. bubbaski27 (9-3-1) - THE BIG DOG

    2. wmi799 (7-2)
    3. rf_dawg (4-0)
    4.
    Gtimebutler (6-2)

    5. TheKrew (4-1-1)
    6. USC_Holmey (6-3-1)
    6. jimc0911 (6-3)
    8. jimmybigmits (3-1-1)


    9. TheKrew (4-2-1)
    10. jroc1247 (4-2)

    11. FenwayFrank (3-2)
    11. gatorbear (3-2)
    13. Desertcapper (4-3)

    14. nfl_brosuf (6-5)
    15. bk1274 (2-2)
    16. BadTimes (3-3)
    17. ncaabb (5-5)
    18. Appleton40 (2-3)
    18. magiccarpetride (2-3)
    18. wgomel21 (2-3)
    21. truthcapper (1-3-1)
    21. BarneysDad (1-3)
    21. silversilver (1-3)
    24. forty9ersfan80 (2-6)

    Others  --- 3-0 - Xdresser
                      2-0 - Madden21, NicMittens, SUPEREAGLE43

    Thanks guys and good luck today!

    Reply

    $$$$ THREAD RESULTS/STANDINGS THRU FEB. 22

    Monday $$$$ W/L: 5-2
    TOTAL OVERALL W/L TO DATE: 130-109-5

    $$$$ OF THE DAY:

    STANDINGS:

    I can't type out everyone's name any more here, so from now on, the Standings will show people who have made a minimum number of $$$$'s.

    MINIMUM OF 4 $$$$'s MADE

    THE ELITE EIGHT

    1. bubbaski27 (9-3-1) - THE BIG DOG

    2. wmi799 (7-2)
    3. rf_dawg (4-0)
    4.
    Gtimebutler (6-2)

    5. TheKrew (4-1-1)
    6. USC_Holmey (6-3-1)
    6. jimc0911 (6-3)
    8. jimmybigmits (3-1-1)


    9. TheKrew (4-2-1)
    10. jroc1247 (4-2)

    11. FenwayFrank (3-2)
    11. gatorbear (3-2)
    13. Desertcapper (4-3)

    14. nfl_brosuf (6-5)
    15. bk1274 (2-2)
    16. BadTimes (3-3)
    17. ncaabb (5-5)
    18. Appleton40 (2-3)
    18. magiccarpetride (2-3)
    18. wgomel21 (2-3)
    21. truthcapper (1-3-1)
    21. BarneysDad (1-3)
    21. silversilver (1-3)
    24. forty9ersfan80 (2-6)

    Others  --- 3-0 - Xdresser
                      2-0 - Madden21, NicMittens, SUPEREAGLE43

    Thanks guys and good luck today!

     
    nfl_brosuf
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 11:04 PM ET #4

    Just like the billboard award, from 18th to 14th in one game.  A few more, I'll be green like the green goblin ha.  Nxt$$$$ play for me in 9 hours from now.  Time for bed because capping is exhausting lol
    X_____________________________
    Reply
    Just like the billboard award, from 18th to 14th in one game.  A few more, I'll be green like the green goblin ha.  Nxt$$$$ play for me in 9 hours from now.  Time for bed because capping is exhausting lol
     
    Mozart
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 11:24 PM ET #5

    USC Holmey didn't jack up the title of today's thread?

      
    Reply
    USC Holmey didn't jack up the title of today's thread?

      
     
    rf_dawg
    rf_dawg
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    Posts: 2520
    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 11:33 PM ET #6

    Ohio (-1.5) @ Bowling Green

    Tuesday night we head to Bowling Green, OH for some MAC East action between Bowling Green and Ohio.

    Bowling Green started out the year respectably but has lost 9 of their last 10, including 5 straight at home by an average of 8.5 ppg.  Meanwhile, Ohio have been victorious in their last three road games...all coming against teams with winning records.  Overall, the Bobcats have won 8 of 10 and are getting hot at the right time of year.  They are tied with Kent State in the MAC Eastern division, just one game behind Akron for the division lead. 

    So why Ohio?  Antonio Campbell is ballin' right now for the Bobcats...almost like no one else in the country.  Look at his last four games:
    16 points, 20 rebounds
    33 points, 11 rebounds
    28 points, 15 rebounds
    26 points, 10 rebounds

    Want to try and stop him?  Ok, fine...Simmons, Kaminsky, Setty and Darcis all average over 10 ppg.  If you're Bowling Green you can pick your poison but the way Ohio is playing now this will be a big challenge.  The past doesn't guarantee us anything but I like the way the Bobcats are rounding into form as we get into late February.

    Some other key things to note: Ohio is the best field goal shooting team in the MAC; they also lead the conference with a ridiculous 75+% FT shooting percentage, while Bowling Green is worst in the league here. 

    I feel like we’re getting value on this game because Bowling Green went to Ohio and won by 16 back on January 12th.  However, that was shortly before the Falcons train derailed.  I'll take the team that's on fire and trying to play their way to a division title.

    $$$$ Pick: Ohio (-1.5) 
    Reply
    Ohio (-1.5) @ Bowling Green

    Tuesday night we head to Bowling Green, OH for some MAC East action between Bowling Green and Ohio.

    Bowling Green started out the year respectably but has lost 9 of their last 10, including 5 straight at home by an average of 8.5 ppg.  Meanwhile, Ohio have been victorious in their last three road games...all coming against teams with winning records.  Overall, the Bobcats have won 8 of 10 and are getting hot at the right time of year.  They are tied with Kent State in the MAC Eastern division, just one game behind Akron for the division lead. 

    So why Ohio?  Antonio Campbell is ballin' right now for the Bobcats...almost like no one else in the country.  Look at his last four games:
    16 points, 20 rebounds
    33 points, 11 rebounds
    28 points, 15 rebounds
    26 points, 10 rebounds

    Want to try and stop him?  Ok, fine...Simmons, Kaminsky, Setty and Darcis all average over 10 ppg.  If you're Bowling Green you can pick your poison but the way Ohio is playing now this will be a big challenge.  The past doesn't guarantee us anything but I like the way the Bobcats are rounding into form as we get into late February.

    Some other key things to note: Ohio is the best field goal shooting team in the MAC; they also lead the conference with a ridiculous 75+% FT shooting percentage, while Bowling Green is worst in the league here. 

    I feel like we’re getting value on this game because Bowling Green went to Ohio and won by 16 back on January 12th.  However, that was shortly before the Falcons train derailed.  I'll take the team that's on fire and trying to play their way to a division title.

    $$$$ Pick: Ohio (-1.5) 
     
    rf_dawg
    rf_dawg
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2016 - 11:35 PM ET #7

    Also a couple of plays on the home teams in the Champions League:

    Arsenal NTL (+129)

    Juventus ML (+214)

     

    Reply

    Also a couple of plays on the home teams in the Champions League:

    Arsenal NTL (+129)

    Juventus ML (+214)

     

     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posts: 1926
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 12:12 AM ET #8

    $$$$ Kansas -1.5

    Kansas is peaking. They have the better coach. They are road solid. They are highly motivated as they race towards a #1 seed in the big dance as well as the Big 12 title. Kansas is an outstanding 3 point shooting team which will give Baylors ragged perimeter defense fits. Baylor, while not shabby, is too undisciplined and lacks the poise it takes to beat a team of this class at this particular point in the season. Look for the Hawks to come through in a business like manner and get the job done showing that there is a top 3 team that can actually win on the road and hold their rank. Good luck to all.
    Reply
    $$$$ Kansas -1.5

    Kansas is peaking. They have the better coach. They are road solid. They are highly motivated as they race towards a #1 seed in the big dance as well as the Big 12 title. Kansas is an outstanding 3 point shooting team which will give Baylors ragged perimeter defense fits. Baylor, while not shabby, is too undisciplined and lacks the poise it takes to beat a team of this class at this particular point in the season. Look for the Hawks to come through in a business like manner and get the job done showing that there is a top 3 team that can actually win on the road and hold their rank. Good luck to all.
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 12:59 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:

    USC Holmey didn't jack up the title of today's thread?

      

    Yep!  Brings my "Correctly Titled Thread Percentage" over 50%, which is pretty dominant, if you ask me.......
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:

    USC Holmey didn't jack up the title of today's thread?

      

    Yep!  Brings my "Correctly Titled Thread Percentage" over 50%, which is pretty dominant, if you ask me.......
     
    gatorbear
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 1:35 AM ET #10

    My $$$$ play record stands at 3-2.  Today my $$$$ play comes from Fayetteville, Arkansas. The Hogs host the LSU Bayou Bengals. Last month on 1.16.16 LSU won 76-74 on a last second tip in as 8 point favorites.  I see a different environment and a different outcome.

    Arkansas plays very well at home where they hold a 12-3 record this year. Add to the fact that LSU is not very consistent on the road, especially in Arkansas where they have lost 7 of the last 8 ATS.  LSU starting guard Hornsby who is second on the team in scoring (13 pts/game) is likely out for the season. Plus Simmons, who we know is all world, is playing with a finger injury on his shooting hand even though it did not bother him over the weekend. 

    A couple more things for Arkansas besides homecourt is the 3 headed Hog in Kingsley, Hannahs & Bell who have been tremendous this year.  Arkansas shoots about 71% from the line. One other factor that may make this squad play with extra juice is that it would be coach Mike Anderson's 100th win at Arkansas & 300th overall. A little extra incentive.

    When it is all said & done, my $$$$ play is on the Hogs -2.

    GLTA as always.


    Reply
    My $$$$ play record stands at 3-2.  Today my $$$$ play comes from Fayetteville, Arkansas. The Hogs host the LSU Bayou Bengals. Last month on 1.16.16 LSU won 76-74 on a last second tip in as 8 point favorites.  I see a different environment and a different outcome.

    Arkansas plays very well at home where they hold a 12-3 record this year. Add to the fact that LSU is not very consistent on the road, especially in Arkansas where they have lost 7 of the last 8 ATS.  LSU starting guard Hornsby who is second on the team in scoring (13 pts/game) is likely out for the season. Plus Simmons, who we know is all world, is playing with a finger injury on his shooting hand even though it did not bother him over the weekend. 

    A couple more things for Arkansas besides homecourt is the 3 headed Hog in Kingsley, Hannahs & Bell who have been tremendous this year.  Arkansas shoots about 71% from the line. One other factor that may make this squad play with extra juice is that it would be coach Mike Anderson's 100th win at Arkansas & 300th overall. A little extra incentive.

    When it is all said & done, my $$$$ play is on the Hogs -2.

    GLTA as always.


     
    gatorbear
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 1:43 AM ET #11

    Hey Dawg, that Ohio game is already at 2.5. GL


    Reply
    Hey Dawg, that Ohio game is already at 2.5. GL


     
    Butta4
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 8:26 AM ET #12

    Homely, you have TheKrew at #5 and #9, just thought I'd give you a heads up.

    Love these threads, thanks for putting it together and helping us all cash in.
    Reply
    Homely, you have TheKrew at #5 and #9, just thought I'd give you a heads up.

    Love these threads, thanks for putting it together and helping us all cash in.
     
    nfl_brosuf
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 8:41 AM ET #13

    6-5 $$$$
    3-1 NBA
    2-1 no$$$$

    - No playing ranked team against no rank.  The upset factor
    - No playing away teams.  Home crowd is the 6th man factor
    - No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent
    - No Reverse Line Movement factor
    - No playing if line is more than 10.  The OT can't cover factor

    Rhode Island vs. Davidson. 

    Rhode Island can not ball away from their house period.  In 21 road games, they only covered 5 ATS.  They are 2-8 SU and ATS this year.  When Rhode Island is a dog and away, they are 1-5 ATS this year.  Now they are playing away again.  Island has a defense allowing 66 points per game but little offense at 69 points per game. 

    Davidson on the other hand had not had much opportunity to be a fav by just a small spread.  Their closest is being a fav by 1 point and they beat Richmond SU and ATS.  Now they are being tested again at the current line of -3.5 but opener at -2.5.  Davidson has little defense allowing 77 points per game but they have offense putting up 80 points per game.  Davidson is playing good ball right now.  They last beat saint joe and putting up 99 points in that game.  Look out for jr guard Jack gibbs as he puts up NBA type of a number in a college game.  35 points to beat st. joe.  wow

    The Rhode Island Rams are:

    • 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.
    • 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

    The Davidson Wildcats are:

    • 17-4 ATS in their last 21 Tuesday games.
    • 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

    This is a no brainer for me.  -3.5 is a huge discount for a team playing at home and against a poor pissy road team like Rhode Island. 

    USC, Give me Davidson -3.5 for $$$$


    In the nba, I like orlando magic to beat them philly.  We have 2 best center in the league on both teams who then cancel out because both averages about 17 points per game.  What makes the difference is that orlando has won 3 of their last 5 games while philly lost 4 straight games.  Orlando got defense and that is a recipe disaster for a team like philly.  Even Okafor had 31 points in the defeat against them dallas mavs and they can't even beat them. 

    Give me orlando -5.5 before the line changes at tip off.

    X_____________________________
    Reply
    6-5 $$$$
    3-1 NBA
    2-1 no$$$$

    - No playing ranked team against no rank.  The upset factor
    - No playing away teams.  Home crowd is the 6th man factor
    - No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent
    - No Reverse Line Movement factor
    - No playing if line is more than 10.  The OT can't cover factor

    Rhode Island vs. Davidson. 

    Rhode Island can not ball away from their house period.  In 21 road games, they only covered 5 ATS.  They are 2-8 SU and ATS this year.  When Rhode Island is a dog and away, they are 1-5 ATS this year.  Now they are playing away again.  Island has a defense allowing 66 points per game but little offense at 69 points per game. 

    Davidson on the other hand had not had much opportunity to be a fav by just a small spread.  Their closest is being a fav by 1 point and they beat Richmond SU and ATS.  Now they are being tested again at the current line of -3.5 but opener at -2.5.  Davidson has little defense allowing 77 points per game but they have offense putting up 80 points per game.  Davidson is playing good ball right now.  They last beat saint joe and putting up 99 points in that game.  Look out for jr guard Jack gibbs as he puts up NBA type of a number in a college game.  35 points to beat st. joe.  wow

    The Rhode Island Rams are:

    • 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.
    • 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

    The Davidson Wildcats are:

    • 17-4 ATS in their last 21 Tuesday games.
    • 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

    This is a no brainer for me.  -3.5 is a huge discount for a team playing at home and against a poor pissy road team like Rhode Island. 

    USC, Give me Davidson -3.5 for $$$$


    In the nba, I like orlando magic to beat them philly.  We have 2 best center in the league on both teams who then cancel out because both averages about 17 points per game.  What makes the difference is that orlando has won 3 of their last 5 games while philly lost 4 straight games.  Orlando got defense and that is a recipe disaster for a team like philly.  Even Okafor had 31 points in the defeat against them dallas mavs and they can't even beat them. 

    Give me orlando -5.5 before the line changes at tip off.

     
    Smurf123
    Smurf123
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 8:42 AM ET #14

    Hey guys been betting on my own for a minute now but just like every other better I have had good days and bad days. Today is one of those days were I really wanna go all in with a good five teamer parlay any suggestions!
    Reply
    Hey guys been betting on my own for a minute now but just like every other better I have had good days and bad days. Today is one of those days were I really wanna go all in with a good five teamer parlay any suggestions!
     
    Redbandit
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 8:42 AM ET #15

    Good morning. Have been looking at the Ohio v. Bowling Green game. Believe the line for the game  reflects Kenny Kaminski's questionablity due to his concussion.  Dawg write-up gives an accurate history for these teams. The last time these teams met in January , bowling green was a different team . Believe that the total is too high at 148 1/2 . Kaminski , at best, will see limited action. The $$$$ play is Ohio under 148 1/2. $$$$ record is 2-1 after last night's play. Good luck to all. 

    Bandit
    Reply
    Good morning. Have been looking at the Ohio v. Bowling Green game. Believe the line for the game  reflects Kenny Kaminski's questionablity due to his concussion.  Dawg write-up gives an accurate history for these teams. The last time these teams met in January , bowling green was a different team . Believe that the total is too high at 148 1/2 . Kaminski , at best, will see limited action. The $$$$ play is Ohio under 148 1/2. $$$$ record is 2-1 after last night's play. Good luck to all. 

    Bandit
     
    Smurf123
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 8:48 AM ET #16

    Anyone. With winning picks feel free to direct message me would like to start my quest on this new site winning
    Reply
    Anyone. With winning picks feel free to direct message me would like to start my quest on this new site winning
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 9:42 AM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by Butta4:

    Homely, you have TheKrew at #5 and #9, just thought I'd give you a heads up.

    Love these threads, thanks for putting it together and helping us all cash in.

    Argh.  Thanks.  TheKrew's correct record is 4-2-1.  Thanks for pointing that out.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Butta4:

    Homely, you have TheKrew at #5 and #9, just thought I'd give you a heads up.

    Love these threads, thanks for putting it together and helping us all cash in.

    Argh.  Thanks.  TheKrew's correct record is 4-2-1.  Thanks for pointing that out.

     
    JP13
    JP13
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 9:56 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by Smurf123:

    Anyone. With winning picks feel free to direct message me would like to start my quest on this new site winning

    That's why the champs are here, they've been waiting for you to show up and message you with the winning picks! :) 

    Great thread Holmey, I poke my head in here daily to check it out. Keep it guys...
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Smurf123:

    Anyone. With winning picks feel free to direct message me would like to start my quest on this new site winning

    That's why the champs are here, they've been waiting for you to show up and message you with the winning picks! :) 

    Great thread Holmey, I poke my head in here daily to check it out. Keep it guys...
     
    JP13
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 9:58 AM ET #19

    *keep it up guys...
    Reply
    *keep it up guys...
     
    bk1374
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 11:24 AM ET #20

    Morning all.  A few footy plays this afternoon in England.  Might have a $$$$ play if I can get a write up done on it.

    Birmingham ML
    Brentford -0.25
    Burnley ML
    Preston North End -0.75
    Sheffield Wednesday ML (top play for sure)

    Staying away from the Champion's League today.  Think both Barca and Bayern advance this round, but both could easily do so with a draw on the road today.  Not sure where Arsenal's head will be at after drawing vs. Hull in the FA Cup (and now having to play them again), plus battling it out for the league title as well.  Might be some value in Juve at home +0.5 or on the draw, but I just can't throw $$$ against Bayern in this round of the competition.  

    Reply
    Morning all.  A few footy plays this afternoon in England.  Might have a $$$$ play if I can get a write up done on it.

    Birmingham ML
    Brentford -0.25
    Burnley ML
    Preston North End -0.75
    Sheffield Wednesday ML (top play for sure)

    Staying away from the Champion's League today.  Think both Barca and Bayern advance this round, but both could easily do so with a draw on the road today.  Not sure where Arsenal's head will be at after drawing vs. Hull in the FA Cup (and now having to play them again), plus battling it out for the league title as well.  Might be some value in Juve at home +0.5 or on the draw, but I just can't throw $$$ against Bayern in this round of the competition.  

     
    rf_dawg
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 11:34 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by gatorbear:

    Hey Dawg, that Ohio game is already at 2.5. GL



    Hey gator, it started at -2 and went to -1.5, -2.5 and now -3.  That's a lot of movement for a lower profile game. 

    As Redbandit noted, Kaminsky is questionable but he's already missed several games and it hasn't slowed Ohio's roll. If he is available it'll be a bonus. GL!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by gatorbear:

    Hey Dawg, that Ohio game is already at 2.5. GL



    Hey gator, it started at -2 and went to -1.5, -2.5 and now -3.  That's a lot of movement for a lower profile game. 

    As Redbandit noted, Kaminsky is questionable but he's already missed several games and it hasn't slowed Ohio's roll. If he is available it'll be a bonus. GL!
     
    gatorbear
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 11:53 AM ET #22

    Yeah Dawg, got them at -2 myself. Kaminsky has been in n out.  GL


    Reply
    Yeah Dawg, got them at -2 myself. Kaminsky has been in n out.  GL


     
    nature1970
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 12:16 PM ET #23

     got nothing today
    Reply
     got nothing today
     
    bk1374
    bk1374
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 12:16 PM ET #24

    $$$$ play for Tuesday 2/23

    English Championship League

    Sheffield Wednesday ML (+105) (line per 5 dimes, would play it all the way to -120 here)

    Sheffield plays hosts to Queens Park Rangers today.  They are currently in the 6 spot and very much in the race for a chance to get promoted to the Premier League. They were a mainstay there in the 80's and 90's and have had a bumpy road the past 20 in the lower tiers.  Anyway, that in and of itself is no reason to wager them today, just some background, they are having a good season to date.  QPR on the other hand aren't going anywhere this season. They are floating in the middle, drawing a lot, and are fairly safe from relegation (14 pts clear) and probably a bit too far from the top 6 to make a legit run (13 pts back with 5 other clubs in front of them).

    My main reason for making this play is Sheffield's recent form, specifical at home.  They haven't lost at home since late August, and only 4 draws since then too (compared to 11 wins).  That includes a 3-0 cup win vs. Arsenal in October.  In league they have 9 wins and 4 draws since their last loss at home, and those four draws were to the current 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 5th place clubs.  They are doing what they need to do at home, drawing against the top sides and beating the rest.  

    As stated above, QPR is kind of just sleepwalking their way through the season and are just floating in the middle of the pack.  They only have 2 wins since 12/3/15, one on the road vs. Rotherham (who's in 22nd place) and another vs. Ipswich (9th place).  They've really done nothing on the road of late.

    Over 2.5 might have some value here too, not sure if Wednesday will put up a clean sheet, a 3-1 or 2-1 win is what I am seeing here. 

    In short, I just think they are winning this match more times than they are drawing/losing it, and getting plus $$$ on it is a bonus.

    I don't make HUGE plays on soccer matches, even when I'm as confident as I am here.  I've been burnt too many times.  I do make some plays larger than my small/normal plays, which is the case here.  I try not to stray too much from a flat betting strategy, but this is one time I will, and going about double on it from a normal wager, which is about as high as I go in soccer.  

    BOL everyone....................
    Reply
    $$$$ play for Tuesday 2/23

    English Championship League

    Sheffield Wednesday ML (+105) (line per 5 dimes, would play it all the way to -120 here)

    Sheffield plays hosts to Queens Park Rangers today.  They are currently in the 6 spot and very much in the race for a chance to get promoted to the Premier League. They were a mainstay there in the 80's and 90's and have had a bumpy road the past 20 in the lower tiers.  Anyway, that in and of itself is no reason to wager them today, just some background, they are having a good season to date.  QPR on the other hand aren't going anywhere this season. They are floating in the middle, drawing a lot, and are fairly safe from relegation (14 pts clear) and probably a bit too far from the top 6 to make a legit run (13 pts back with 5 other clubs in front of them).

    My main reason for making this play is Sheffield's recent form, specifical at home.  They haven't lost at home since late August, and only 4 draws since then too (compared to 11 wins).  That includes a 3-0 cup win vs. Arsenal in October.  In league they have 9 wins and 4 draws since their last loss at home, and those four draws were to the current 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 5th place clubs.  They are doing what they need to do at home, drawing against the top sides and beating the rest.  

    As stated above, QPR is kind of just sleepwalking their way through the season and are just floating in the middle of the pack.  They only have 2 wins since 12/3/15, one on the road vs. Rotherham (who's in 22nd place) and another vs. Ipswich (9th place).  They've really done nothing on the road of late.

    Over 2.5 might have some value here too, not sure if Wednesday will put up a clean sheet, a 3-1 or 2-1 win is what I am seeing here. 

    In short, I just think they are winning this match more times than they are drawing/losing it, and getting plus $$$ on it is a bonus.

    I don't make HUGE plays on soccer matches, even when I'm as confident as I am here.  I've been burnt too many times.  I do make some plays larger than my small/normal plays, which is the case here.  I try not to stray too much from a flat betting strategy, but this is one time I will, and going about double on it from a normal wager, which is about as high as I go in soccer.  

    BOL everyone....................
     
     
    Kobe_V24
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 12:20 PM ET #25

    davidson and ohio have around 87% of public on them.... just some advise... i hate taking games that are so heavily bet by public money... just be warned 
    Reply
    davidson and ohio have around 87% of public on them.... just some advise... i hate taking games that are so heavily bet by public money... just be warned 
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