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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Holmey's $$$$ Thread TUESDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 02.23.16

    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
    bk1374
    TheKrew
    Redbandit
    USC_Holmey
    Da_Oracle
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    bk1374
    bk1374
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:01 PM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:


    Looks like Sheffield has controlled possession and the stats are in their favor, all except the score board.  Hopefully they'll break through here shortly.  I am not watching though, just going off of HT stats from soccerway.  

    Ugh.  Sheffield down 0-1.  Need a rally now!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:


    Looks like Sheffield has controlled possession and the stats are in their favor, all except the score board.  Hopefully they'll break through here shortly.  I am not watching though, just going off of HT stats from soccerway.  

    Ugh.  Sheffield down 0-1.  Need a rally now!
     
    TheKrew
    TheKrew
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:09 PM ET #52

    Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:


    Thanks, I'm sure we will. Going up for the weekend, one of my friend's has a kid who is turning 21. So hitting some bars, then Potawatomi Friday night, probably nudie bar Saturday, or so I am told.  Should be a fun drunken weekend.  

    Sounds like a good time. Little heads up, don't play the slots at poto. I believe their slots have the worst odds in all of the casinos in the country. As if Slots aren't bad enough, lol. But sometimes there's a little degen side in all of us. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:


    Thanks, I'm sure we will. Going up for the weekend, one of my friend's has a kid who is turning 21. So hitting some bars, then Potawatomi Friday night, probably nudie bar Saturday, or so I am told.  Should be a fun drunken weekend.  

    Sounds like a good time. Little heads up, don't play the slots at poto. I believe their slots have the worst odds in all of the casinos in the country. As if Slots aren't bad enough, lol. But sometimes there's a little degen side in all of us. 
     
    Redbandit
    Redbandit
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:13 PM ET #53

    Hey dbronco, looks like some of  us CBS lock thread players have come out of the woodwork since holmey resurrected tke  $$$$f/n/athe lock play . Are 'ystill a devoted mountaineer.  Keep in touch
    Reply
    Hey dbronco, looks like some of  us CBS lock thread players have come out of the woodwork since holmey resurrected tke  $$$$f/n/athe lock play . Are 'ystill a devoted mountaineer.  Keep in touch
     
    bk1374
    bk1374
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:16 PM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by TheKrew:


    Sounds like a good time. Little heads up, don't play the slots at poto. I believe their slots have the worst odds in all of the casinos in the country. As if Slots aren't bad enough, lol. But sometimes there's a little degen side in all of us. 

    I doubt I play anything other than NL hold'em.  On a whim MAYBE get talked into some blackjack, or a table game.  Never really play slots.  Closest I come to slots is occasionally some video poker at a bar waiting for a drink (or two, or three).  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by TheKrew:


    Sounds like a good time. Little heads up, don't play the slots at poto. I believe their slots have the worst odds in all of the casinos in the country. As if Slots aren't bad enough, lol. But sometimes there's a little degen side in all of us. 

    I doubt I play anything other than NL hold'em.  On a whim MAYBE get talked into some blackjack, or a table game.  Never really play slots.  Closest I come to slots is occasionally some video poker at a bar waiting for a drink (or two, or three).  
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:26 PM ET #55

    Well, that was quick.  Thanks for participating, Gunners.
    Reply
    Well, that was quick.  Thanks for participating, Gunners.
     
    Da_Oracle
    Da_Oracle
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:27 PM ET #56

    First off, I love Ohio tonight as well as a few others, but I am going a different route with my $$$$ (Ohio is just as big though)

    $$$$ Ball St +9

    I was pretty surprised when I saw this line.  I was expecting in the 3.5-4 range.  Ball St. dominated the first matchup winning by 18 at home.  Not sure what changes here in Toledo.  The Cardinals want a win to stay on top of the MAC West, while you can argue Toledo (2nd place) is going to come out fired up wanting to put themselves in position to take 1st away from Ball St as they can pull within a game with a win.  To me, the matchup is just not there though for Toledo.  Ball St. has the top rated MAC defense and slowssssssss the game down to exactly where they want it to be.  Toledo does have the third rated MAC defense right now, but that is a bit misleading.  Their sagging defense has been getting absolutely burned lately by everyone in the MAC and Ball St. has the shooters and ball movement to continue the torching.  I am probably going to throw some on the ML here as well as I think they have a chance to win straight up so there is definitely value there.  However for my $$$$ I'll gladly take the points.

    $$$$ Ball St +9  
    Reply
    First off, I love Ohio tonight as well as a few others, but I am going a different route with my $$$$ (Ohio is just as big though)

    $$$$ Ball St +9

    I was pretty surprised when I saw this line.  I was expecting in the 3.5-4 range.  Ball St. dominated the first matchup winning by 18 at home.  Not sure what changes here in Toledo.  The Cardinals want a win to stay on top of the MAC West, while you can argue Toledo (2nd place) is going to come out fired up wanting to put themselves in position to take 1st away from Ball St as they can pull within a game with a win.  To me, the matchup is just not there though for Toledo.  Ball St. has the top rated MAC defense and slowssssssss the game down to exactly where they want it to be.  Toledo does have the third rated MAC defense right now, but that is a bit misleading.  Their sagging defense has been getting absolutely burned lately by everyone in the MAC and Ball St. has the shooters and ball movement to continue the torching.  I am probably going to throw some on the ML here as well as I think they have a chance to win straight up so there is definitely value there.  However for my $$$$ I'll gladly take the points.

    $$$$ Ball St +9  
     
    bk1374
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:29 PM ET #57

    Need a late one from Sheffield to win this.  Less than 5 minutes (plus some injury time).

    Reply
    Need a late one from Sheffield to win this.  Less than 5 minutes (plus some injury time).

     
    TheKrew
    TheKrew
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:29 PM ET #58

    Really love this play tonight. Confident $$$$ play

    Arkansas -2.5 First Half

    Liked Arkansas a lot in the game. Was thinking about making them my money play but at -4.5 there wasn't enough value to do so. 

    Looking into this game further I believe Arkansas in the first half is a slam dunk here. Arkansas at home averages a +7.5 first half scoring margin compared to -3.2 on the road. On the other hand, LSU on the road has an average 1st half scoring margin of -4.6 compared to their home margin of +6.2. 

    Most teams in the country have a difference of around 5 points home/road. Both of these teams have a 10 point swing in their home/road 1st half margins. That is huge. These two teams have played a very similar schedule to this point and this deep into the season there is meaning into stats like that imo. 

    As for the game itself, LSU is just not playing inspired Basketball. They have lost 3 of their last 4, of those four they were 0-2 on the road  losing by 16 to Tennessee and 9 to South Carolina. 

    Earlier in the year LSU beat Arkansas by two in a match-up that was almost dead even in terms of team stats and shooting %. (Arkansas won the 1h by 4 points). Many factors have changed since that game though including the big one - Keith Hornsby now out for the year who was a factor in that game. Factor in star Ben Simmons having a finger issue on his shooting hand as well as the obvious now home court advantage for Arkansas. I think they win this won with relative ease. 

    A great point by gatorbear as well - "coach Mike Anderson's 100th win at Arkansas & 300th overall. A little extra incentive. ". Factor in other things such as the sharp money being on Arkansas, and overall this is just a great value play today.

    I like Arkansas tonight, but the spread at -4.5 is just a little too much for a $$$ play. That is why I love this first half play. This is my most confident $$$ play so far. If I had to put a percentage on it I feel this is a play that would hit around 80% of the time. Best of luck guys!
    Reply
    Really love this play tonight. Confident $$$$ play

    Arkansas -2.5 First Half

    Liked Arkansas a lot in the game. Was thinking about making them my money play but at -4.5 there wasn't enough value to do so. 

    Looking into this game further I believe Arkansas in the first half is a slam dunk here. Arkansas at home averages a +7.5 first half scoring margin compared to -3.2 on the road. On the other hand, LSU on the road has an average 1st half scoring margin of -4.6 compared to their home margin of +6.2. 

    Most teams in the country have a difference of around 5 points home/road. Both of these teams have a 10 point swing in their home/road 1st half margins. That is huge. These two teams have played a very similar schedule to this point and this deep into the season there is meaning into stats like that imo. 

    As for the game itself, LSU is just not playing inspired Basketball. They have lost 3 of their last 4, of those four they were 0-2 on the road  losing by 16 to Tennessee and 9 to South Carolina. 

    Earlier in the year LSU beat Arkansas by two in a match-up that was almost dead even in terms of team stats and shooting %. (Arkansas won the 1h by 4 points). Many factors have changed since that game though including the big one - Keith Hornsby now out for the year who was a factor in that game. Factor in star Ben Simmons having a finger issue on his shooting hand as well as the obvious now home court advantage for Arkansas. I think they win this won with relative ease. 

    A great point by gatorbear as well - "coach Mike Anderson's 100th win at Arkansas & 300th overall. A little extra incentive. ". Factor in other things such as the sharp money being on Arkansas, and overall this is just a great value play today.

    I like Arkansas tonight, but the spread at -4.5 is just a little too much for a $$$ play. That is why I love this first half play. This is my most confident $$$ play so far. If I had to put a percentage on it I feel this is a play that would hit around 80% of the time. Best of luck guys!
     
    Mozart
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:43 PM ET #59

    Krew~

    Thank you for this excellent write-up on Arky.

    Where are you getting the home/road 1H and 2H scoring stats that you mentioned? Kenpom?


    Reply
    Krew~

    Thank you for this excellent write-up on Arky.

    Where are you getting the home/road 1H and 2H scoring stats that you mentioned? Kenpom?


     
    bk1374
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:44 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:

    Need a late one from Sheffield to win this.  Less than 5 minutes (plus some injury time).


    Sorry guys, ends in a 1-1 draw, so we posted up a loser.  Interestingly enough, all four of my other soccer plays were winners today.  But the one I was most confident in loses.  Sheffield missed a penalty kick early in the 2H, and that is usually the death of ML's and overs.  In this case, both.  QPR only had one shot on target, unfortunately, it win in!


    Good luck in hoops, and sorry for any clutter on the thread.  We'll get it back next time.  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:

    Need a late one from Sheffield to win this.  Less than 5 minutes (plus some injury time).


    Sorry guys, ends in a 1-1 draw, so we posted up a loser.  Interestingly enough, all four of my other soccer plays were winners today.  But the one I was most confident in loses.  Sheffield missed a penalty kick early in the 2H, and that is usually the death of ML's and overs.  In this case, both.  QPR only had one shot on target, unfortunately, it win in!


    Good luck in hoops, and sorry for any clutter on the thread.  We'll get it back next time.  
     
    dbronco
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:44 PM ET #61

    Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:


    Looks like Sheffield has controlled possession and the stats are in their favor, all except the score board.  Hopefully they'll break through here shortly.  I am not watching though, just going off of HT stats from soccerway.  

    IM never betting this damn sport again i hate soccer !!!1
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:


    Looks like Sheffield has controlled possession and the stats are in their favor, all except the score board.  Hopefully they'll break through here shortly.  I am not watching though, just going off of HT stats from soccerway.  

    IM never betting this damn sport again i hate soccer !!!1
     
    Jack Ryan
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:48 PM ET #62

    Quote Originally Posted by Da_Oracle:

    First off, I love Ohio tonight as well as a few others, but I am going a different route with my $$$$ (Ohio is just as big though)

    $$$$ Ball St +9

    I was pretty surprised when I saw this line.  I was expecting in the 3.5-4 range.  Ball St. dominated the first matchup winning by 18 at home.  Not sure what changes here in Toledo.  The Cardinals want a win to stay on top of the MAC West, while you can argue Toledo (2nd place) is going to come out fired up wanting to put themselves in position to take 1st away from Ball St as they can pull within a game with a win.  To me, the matchup is just not there though for Toledo.  Ball St. has the top rated MAC defense and slowssssssss the game down to exactly where they want it to be.  Toledo does have the third rated MAC defense right now, but that is a bit misleading.  Their sagging defense has been getting absolutely burned lately by everyone in the MAC and Ball St. has the shooters and ball movement to continue the torching.  I am probably going to throw some on the ML here as well as I think they have a chance to win straight up so there is definitely value there.  However for my $$$$ I'll gladly take the points.

    $$$$ Ball St +9  
    Jack Ryan
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Da_Oracle:

    First off, I love Ohio tonight as well as a few others, but I am going a different route with my $$$$ (Ohio is just as big though)

    $$$$ Ball St +9

    I was pretty surprised when I saw this line.  I was expecting in the 3.5-4 range.  Ball St. dominated the first matchup winning by 18 at home.  Not sure what changes here in Toledo.  The Cardinals want a win to stay on top of the MAC West, while you can argue Toledo (2nd place) is going to come out fired up wanting to put themselves in position to take 1st away from Ball St as they can pull within a game with a win.  To me, the matchup is just not there though for Toledo.  Ball St. has the top rated MAC defense and slowssssssss the game down to exactly where they want it to be.  Toledo does have the third rated MAC defense right now, but that is a bit misleading.  Their sagging defense has been getting absolutely burned lately by everyone in the MAC and Ball St. has the shooters and ball movement to continue the torching.  I am probably going to throw some on the ML here as well as I think they have a chance to win straight up so there is definitely value there.  However for my $$$$ I'll gladly take the points.

    $$$$ Ball St +9  
     
    Jack Ryan
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 4:53 PM ET #63

    Quote Originally Posted by Da_Oracle:

    First off, I love Ohio tonight as well as a few others, but I am going a different route with my $$$$ (Ohio is just as big though)

    $$$$ Ball St +9

    I was pretty surprised when I saw this line.  I was expecting in the 3.5-4 range.  Ball St. dominated the first matchup winning by 18 at home.  Not sure what changes here in Toledo.  The Cardinals want a win to stay on top of the MAC West, while you can argue Toledo (2nd place) is going to come out fired up wanting to put themselves in position to take 1st away from Ball St as they can pull within a game with a win.  To me, the matchup is just not there though for Toledo.  Ball St. has the top rated MAC defense and slowssssssss the game down to exactly where they want it to be.  Toledo does have the third rated MAC defense right now, but that is a bit misleading.  Their sagging defense has been getting absolutely burned lately by everyone in the MAC and Ball St. has the shooters and ball movement to continue the torching.  I am probably going to throw some on the ML here as well as I think they have a chance to win straight up so there is definitely value there.  However for my $$$$ I'll gladly take the points.

    $$$$ Ball St +9  


    I will be at the game tonight. I have to concur with your pick on this one! Rockets have a young team and are unpredictable. It's possible they will come out and hit everything but not likely. Ball State is getting way too many points and could win this one outright!   Boothe gets double teamed and it all comes down to the outside shooting.    I was at the EMU game and Toledo got torched by 3's in the 1st half.   This could be easy $$$ for those betting on Ball State.  Rockets absolutely have to win but that's not a good enough reason to grab them.


    Jack Ryan
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Da_Oracle:

    First off, I love Ohio tonight as well as a few others, but I am going a different route with my $$$$ (Ohio is just as big though)

    $$$$ Ball St +9

    I was pretty surprised when I saw this line.  I was expecting in the 3.5-4 range.  Ball St. dominated the first matchup winning by 18 at home.  Not sure what changes here in Toledo.  The Cardinals want a win to stay on top of the MAC West, while you can argue Toledo (2nd place) is going to come out fired up wanting to put themselves in position to take 1st away from Ball St as they can pull within a game with a win.  To me, the matchup is just not there though for Toledo.  Ball St. has the top rated MAC defense and slowssssssss the game down to exactly where they want it to be.  Toledo does have the third rated MAC defense right now, but that is a bit misleading.  Their sagging defense has been getting absolutely burned lately by everyone in the MAC and Ball St. has the shooters and ball movement to continue the torching.  I am probably going to throw some on the ML here as well as I think they have a chance to win straight up so there is definitely value there.  However for my $$$$ I'll gladly take the points.

    $$$$ Ball St +9  


    I will be at the game tonight. I have to concur with your pick on this one! Rockets have a young team and are unpredictable. It's possible they will come out and hit everything but not likely. Ball State is getting way too many points and could win this one outright!   Boothe gets double teamed and it all comes down to the outside shooting.    I was at the EMU game and Toledo got torched by 3's in the 1st half.   This could be easy $$$ for those betting on Ball State.  Rockets absolutely have to win but that's not a good enough reason to grab them.


     
    nfl_brosuf
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posts: 11602
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 5:04 PM ET #64

    Im already on davidson with my bookie but do not like the late line movement.  Rlm actually.  

    Usc, change my $$$$ to Orlando magic with the same line i posted earlier. 

    Fade philly for money.

    Im also on kansas jayhawks -2.5 n liking how they can cover n baylor having a bad time covering. Baylor better at home but i like kansas ranked 2 to get upset for some reason.  I pay to see the upset. Hate playing televised ranked teams but if that is what the bar will show later then my Budweiser needs action for some hooting and hollering. 

    Also fade Marist the last game tonight.  Marist is like the philly in the nba that i love to fade for money.  

    My no$$$$ play needs some action to improve her record.  Usc, give me the team fading marist -5.5 (i think?) for no$$$$ please.  




    X_____________________________
    Reply
    Im already on davidson with my bookie but do not like the late line movement.  Rlm actually.  

    Usc, change my $$$$ to Orlando magic with the same line i posted earlier. 

    Fade philly for money.

    Im also on kansas jayhawks -2.5 n liking how they can cover n baylor having a bad time covering. Baylor better at home but i like kansas ranked 2 to get upset for some reason.  I pay to see the upset. Hate playing televised ranked teams but if that is what the bar will show later then my Budweiser needs action for some hooting and hollering. 

    Also fade Marist the last game tonight.  Marist is like the philly in the nba that i love to fade for money.  

    My no$$$$ play needs some action to improve her record.  Usc, give me the team fading marist -5.5 (i think?) for no$$$$ please.  




     
    nfl_brosuf
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posts: 11602
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 5:12 PM ET #65

    Oh yeah rider -4.5 to beat Marist for no$$$$

    Orlando magic for $$$$ if i can switch.  If not then I'll just stick the same as is.  

    Heck i still feel strong about davidson.  Give me that for no$$$$ too.  

    We shall see later.  I hate rlm but if it is by half or one point, it doesn't matter much.  Line was fine early but by tip off it changes n it suck after you already posted your wager.  Oh well, something to learn everyday i suppose.  


    X_____________________________
    Reply
    Oh yeah rider -4.5 to beat Marist for no$$$$

    Orlando magic for $$$$ if i can switch.  If not then I'll just stick the same as is.  

    Heck i still feel strong about davidson.  Give me that for no$$$$ too.  

    We shall see later.  I hate rlm but if it is by half or one point, it doesn't matter much.  Line was fine early but by tip off it changes n it suck after you already posted your wager.  Oh well, something to learn everyday i suppose.  


     
    TopFlightSports
    TopFlightSports
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    Posts: 132
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 5:22 PM ET #66

    Boise State (11PM ET ESPNU) - Looking to bounce back after a $$$$ dud on here on Sunday when Middle Tennessee State simply didnt show up.  Tonight we have a big matchup in the Mountain West as the Boise State Broncos welcome the UNLV Runnin Rebels to Taco Bell Arena in Boise.  This is the type of game that has blowout written all over it.  Boise State has struggled big time over the past month but in that span only one of those losses has come at home, a tough hard fought loss to a very good New Mexico team that simply went off in the second half.  Boise has been victim of some insanely tough luck on the road in a stretch where they have lost three of four, having a horrible shooting day at Air Force in an ugly 61-53 loss to the Falcons, having a win literally taken from them by the refs in a decision that should still be up for review and still be overturned when a clear cut game winning three by James Webb III was waived off to cost the Broncos against Colorado State as they went on to lose in double overtime, then most recently blowing a huge lead to New Mexico that saw the Lobos dead to rights before ripping off a 19-2 run to close the game and give New Mexico an insane 80-78 win.  The one win in that stretch was their last home game where they came in against a similar caliber team and a similar size favorite and they absolutely demoralized the Cowboys with a 94-71 beat down.  That’s exactly what we see happening again tonight.  Not only is Boise State beside themselves after the way they lost to Colorado State and New Mexico, the fact they blew a double digit lead to New Mexico will ensure the Broncos will do everything in their power to absolutely bury UNLV to the point where a comeback isn’t even a remote possibility.  On the other side of the ball we have a UNLV team that really just isn’t that good, especially on the road where they have lost four in a row.  UNLV was extremely lucky to beat Nevada over the weekend as they banked in a desperation three to tie before winning in overtime and with a multitude of injuries and the fact the Rebs were overrated from the start this has all the makings of a team that is set to crumble down the stretch.  Boise has a big in season revenge angle having lost at UNLV earlier this season and with natural revenge coming off of a heartbreaking loss where they were on the road against a team far better than UNLV with a double digit lead late we see a Broncos team that will have no qualms about running this score up until the final whistle sounds.  Boise State will not be content with anything less than a similar performance than what they put forth against Wyoming last time out on this floor and we will confidently lay the number here as the Broncos let it all out, cruising to a win and cover over an unassuming UNLV team in Boise tonight. 

    $$$$ Boise State -8 

    Really great stuff out of everyone on this thread....lots of great write ups and insight.  If you like this write up stop by my site at topflightsportsinfo dot com for my full card.  Good luck and lets cash some tickets tonight!!!
    Reply
    Boise State (11PM ET ESPNU) - Looking to bounce back after a $$$$ dud on here on Sunday when Middle Tennessee State simply didnt show up.  Tonight we have a big matchup in the Mountain West as the Boise State Broncos welcome the UNLV Runnin Rebels to Taco Bell Arena in Boise.  This is the type of game that has blowout written all over it.  Boise State has struggled big time over the past month but in that span only one of those losses has come at home, a tough hard fought loss to a very good New Mexico team that simply went off in the second half.  Boise has been victim of some insanely tough luck on the road in a stretch where they have lost three of four, having a horrible shooting day at Air Force in an ugly 61-53 loss to the Falcons, having a win literally taken from them by the refs in a decision that should still be up for review and still be overturned when a clear cut game winning three by James Webb III was waived off to cost the Broncos against Colorado State as they went on to lose in double overtime, then most recently blowing a huge lead to New Mexico that saw the Lobos dead to rights before ripping off a 19-2 run to close the game and give New Mexico an insane 80-78 win.  The one win in that stretch was their last home game where they came in against a similar caliber team and a similar size favorite and they absolutely demoralized the Cowboys with a 94-71 beat down.  That’s exactly what we see happening again tonight.  Not only is Boise State beside themselves after the way they lost to Colorado State and New Mexico, the fact they blew a double digit lead to New Mexico will ensure the Broncos will do everything in their power to absolutely bury UNLV to the point where a comeback isn’t even a remote possibility.  On the other side of the ball we have a UNLV team that really just isn’t that good, especially on the road where they have lost four in a row.  UNLV was extremely lucky to beat Nevada over the weekend as they banked in a desperation three to tie before winning in overtime and with a multitude of injuries and the fact the Rebs were overrated from the start this has all the makings of a team that is set to crumble down the stretch.  Boise has a big in season revenge angle having lost at UNLV earlier this season and with natural revenge coming off of a heartbreaking loss where they were on the road against a team far better than UNLV with a double digit lead late we see a Broncos team that will have no qualms about running this score up until the final whistle sounds.  Boise State will not be content with anything less than a similar performance than what they put forth against Wyoming last time out on this floor and we will confidently lay the number here as the Broncos let it all out, cruising to a win and cover over an unassuming UNLV team in Boise tonight. 

    $$$$ Boise State -8 

    Really great stuff out of everyone on this thread....lots of great write ups and insight.  If you like this write up stop by my site at topflightsportsinfo dot com for my full card.  Good luck and lets cash some tickets tonight!!!
     
    jimmybigmits
    jimmybigmits
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    Posts: 168
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 5:36 PM ET #67

    $$$$ play NHL OTT/EDM over5.5 +115

    Anderson has been great at home but boasts a 3.46 GAA away. Talbot has a 3.64 GAA over his last 7.  Edmonton players like Eberle and Pouliot have benefited from Mcdavids return and Mcdavid has 15 pts in 10 games himself. When teams are not in the playoff race it seems the defense is not much of a priority.

    Over is 25-6-1 in Ottawas last 32 vs Pacific

    Over is 6-2 in last 8 between these two teams

    Over is 7-1 in Edmontons last 8 vs Eastern Conference.

    Reply

    $$$$ play NHL OTT/EDM over5.5 +115

    Anderson has been great at home but boasts a 3.46 GAA away. Talbot has a 3.64 GAA over his last 7.  Edmonton players like Eberle and Pouliot have benefited from Mcdavids return and Mcdavid has 15 pts in 10 games himself. When teams are not in the playoff race it seems the defense is not much of a priority.

    Over is 25-6-1 in Ottawas last 32 vs Pacific

    Over is 6-2 in last 8 between these two teams

    Over is 7-1 in Edmontons last 8 vs Eastern Conference.

     
    gatorbear
    gatorbear
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    Posts: 1273
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 5:37 PM ET #68

    Mozart, what is my write up on the Hogs, chopped liver???   lol

    GL tonight.


    Reply
    Mozart, what is my write up on the Hogs, chopped liver???   lol

    GL tonight.


     
    TheKrew
    TheKrew
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    Joined: Mar, 2015
    Posts: 264
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 5:51 PM ET #69

    Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:

    Krew~

    Thank you for this excellent write-up on Arky.

    Where are you getting the home/road 1H and 2H scoring stats that you mentioned? Kenpom?



    https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/stat/average-1st-half-margin


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:

    Krew~

    Thank you for this excellent write-up on Arky.

    Where are you getting the home/road 1H and 2H scoring stats that you mentioned? Kenpom?



    https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/stat/average-1st-half-margin


     
    FenwayFrank
    FenwayFrank
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    Posts: 377
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 5:56 PM ET #70

    My $$$$ play is Davidson -2.5

    I'm taking this one from @NFL_Brosuf!! He had this game read correctly! Rhode Island is competitive but just can not win on the road. Their lone road conference win was at last place Lasalle. Davidson however comes into the contest with a 13-1 home record! Only losing to 1st place VCU. Davidson has too much scoring power and RI will be playing with 7 men consistently and should tire out in the second half. Davison shoots FT's at a 75% clip which will not hurt their chances! And defensively they come in identical (middle of the pack) rebounding the ball. All things equal Davidson should squeeze one out here!  
    Reply
    My $$$$ play is Davidson -2.5

    I'm taking this one from @NFL_Brosuf!! He had this game read correctly! Rhode Island is competitive but just can not win on the road. Their lone road conference win was at last place Lasalle. Davidson however comes into the contest with a 13-1 home record! Only losing to 1st place VCU. Davidson has too much scoring power and RI will be playing with 7 men consistently and should tire out in the second half. Davison shoots FT's at a 75% clip which will not hurt their chances! And defensively they come in identical (middle of the pack) rebounding the ball. All things equal Davidson should squeeze one out here!  
     
    Jack Ryan
    Jack Ryan
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    Posts: 1589
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 5:59 PM ET #71

    Swore I was done with betting on Road Teams but I got to ride with Ohio University covering vs Bowling Green!!  Ball State is an excellent pick as well but I got to root for my home boys here Toodletown!!


    Jack Ryan
    Reply
    Swore I was done with betting on Road Teams but I got to ride with Ohio University covering vs Bowling Green!!  Ball State is an excellent pick as well but I got to root for my home boys here Toodletown!!


     
    dbronco
    dbronco
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    Posts: 90
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 6:01 PM ET #72

    i have Ball St at +7.5

    still good to go here 
    Reply
    i have Ball St at +7.5

    still good to go here 
     
    BadTimes
    BadTimes
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    Posts: 850
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 6:03 PM ET #73

    bk1374  .. nice try  on that pick , I Almost  went on that game after I saw how the top favorite actually won... but  I didnt follow ..the one I think would have won  actually won  in the England champ.... but I had cash in on Barcelona and over on juvenrus vs bayern munich. ...


    my  $$$$  today

    $$$$$  Portland blazer -11.5 $$$$


    blazer is hot at the   moment winning their 5th consecutive  game against tough opponents while the nets are struggling back to back games.  With blazer having a better average stats  %      the most important thing that will get them the win would be % on the 3 pointers and fighting for a spot for the playoffs.. that will get them the win tonite... 



    $$$$$  Portland blazer -11.5 $$$$


    side play

     Davison -3
    Akron -6.5   still wonder  why this line is small

    Reply
    bk1374  .. nice try  on that pick , I Almost  went on that game after I saw how the top favorite actually won... but  I didnt follow ..the one I think would have won  actually won  in the England champ.... but I had cash in on Barcelona and over on juvenrus vs bayern munich. ...


    my  $$$$  today

    $$$$$  Portland blazer -11.5 $$$$


    blazer is hot at the   moment winning their 5th consecutive  game against tough opponents while the nets are struggling back to back games.  With blazer having a better average stats  %      the most important thing that will get them the win would be % on the 3 pointers and fighting for a spot for the playoffs.. that will get them the win tonite... 



    $$$$$  Portland blazer -11.5 $$$$


    side play

     Davison -3
    Akron -6.5   still wonder  why this line is small

     
    sunny49
    sunny49
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    Joined: Jan, 2016
    Posts: 55
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 6:09 PM ET #74

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Ryan:



    I will be at the game tonight. I have to concur with your pick on this one! Rockets have a young team and are unpredictable. It's possible they will come out and hit everything but not likely. Ball State is getting way too many points and could win this one outright!   Boothe gets double teamed and it all comes down to the outside shooting.    I was at the EMU game and Toledo got torched by 3's in the 1st half.   This could be easy $$$ for those betting on Ball State.  Rockets absolutely have to win but that's not a good enough reason to grab them.



    Make sure you hit up some Tony Packo's!!!! Enjoy the game at good ole Bancroft High!!  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Ryan:



    I will be at the game tonight. I have to concur with your pick on this one! Rockets have a young team and are unpredictable. It's possible they will come out and hit everything but not likely. Ball State is getting way too many points and could win this one outright!   Boothe gets double teamed and it all comes down to the outside shooting.    I was at the EMU game and Toledo got torched by 3's in the 1st half.   This could be easy $$$ for those betting on Ball State.  Rockets absolutely have to win but that's not a good enough reason to grab them.



    Make sure you hit up some Tony Packo's!!!! Enjoy the game at good ole Bancroft High!!  
     
     
    Jack Ryan
    Jack Ryan
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    Posts: 1589
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2016 - 6:20 PM ET #75

    Quote Originally Posted by sunny49:


    Make sure you hit up some Tony Packo's!!!! Enjoy the game at good ole Bancroft High!!  


    Always do!! Haven't heard "Bancroft High" in a long time!!

    Savage arena is a great venue and I love checking out MAC games there. Nice short ride from Maumee! 
    Jack Ryan
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by sunny49:


    Make sure you hit up some Tony Packo's!!!! Enjoy the game at good ole Bancroft High!!  


    Always do!! Haven't heard "Bancroft High" in a long time!!

    Savage arena is a great venue and I love checking out MAC games there. Nice short ride from Maumee! 
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