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Stay away from Game 5?

Forum: NBA Betting
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Stay away from Game 5?
HoosierBettor PM HoosierBettor
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 376
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Posted: 6/14/2013 9:24:35 AM
Game 5 might be a game where I'm on the sidelines.  This game is an absolute tossup, not just because that's what the spread says.  To me this game is similar to game 1 where people had their beliefs on who would win, but nobody was extremely confident.  Last night, I was extremely confident on the Heat.  Game 2 I was extremely confident in the Heat.  I don't know how anyone can be extremely confident in game 5, on either side. 

Also I wouldn't be surprised if Parker is hurt more than they've said now.  Parker himself said after the game that he hopes to be more healthy before game 5 and that he couldn't get his lift.  So his status is totally up in the air.

Too many unknowns for me and there doesn't seem to be an edge to be had in this game.  That's when you know the time is right to take a pass.  I'll just be waiting until game 6 to put a mid-sized bet on Miami ML if the series is 3-2 Heat, and a max bet on Miami ML if the series is 3-2 Spurs.  BOL to anyone who does bet game 5.
MRxKrazz PM MRxKrazz
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 9629
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Posted: 6/14/2013 9:40:05 AM
saigonbynight PM saigonbynight
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 8343
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Posted: 6/14/2013 9:42:44 AM
Why try your luck? It is 50/50 winner. Nothing is warranty 
thorpe PM thorpe
Joined: Sep 2002
Posts: 11286
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Posted: 6/14/2013 12:53:17 PM
Heat has alternated win/loss for 11 straight games.  Spurs are against the wall.  I see a 10 pt Spurs win.  Stern wants 7 games in his last playoff series
justnsane6 PM justnsane6
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 20
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Posted: 6/14/2013 1:13:27 PM
Really bad spot for the Heat, great spot for the Spurs IMO. Heat know they have 2 home games coming up and their desperation game was game 4. It's not turn for the Spurs to be desperation mode because they know if they go back to Miami down 3-2, that's a rap. Plus, Wade has shown in these playoffs glimpses of his old self, then regresses the following few games to nurse his wounds.
BIZ321 PM BIZ321
Joined: May 2013
Posts: 75
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Posted: 6/14/2013 3:59:25 PM
I think it finally clicked with the Heat last night. They got the monkey off their backs with a road win in SA and now feel like the better team. The heat playing with confidence is a scary squad. I predict they squeak out a win in game 5 and win big at home in the 6th game
BatangTae PM BatangTae
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 637
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Posted: 6/14/2013 9:57:54 PM
sas will DEFINITELY come out strong in game 5.
the question is how will MIA play after a win in game 4.

situation # 1:
-if MIA will have the same level of intensity like in game 4.
-MOST PROBABLY heat will win.

situation # 2:
-if MIA will play lazy basketball just like they always do coming off a win.
-then SAS DEFINITELY win this one.

this will be a toss coin but like what i've said, if MIA will have the same intensity, then they have a chance of winning this game, MOST PROBABLY.
conclusion: i think SAS has the slight edge here (60-40), but then again who knows how good or bad MIA will play for game 5. no play here, but leaning on MIA (don't underestimate the heart of a champion - referring to wade)

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